Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

28
+7.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,981
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$556.07
Current Value
$766.04
Period P&L
$52.20
Max Drawdown
-94.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+5.77%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Trade Return
+1.44%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$12,896.22
Estimated Fees
$32.24
Gross P&L
$52.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$19.96
Gross Return
+9.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.59%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $556.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $0.0892 7,612 $678.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 4:45pm ET $0.0864 7,612 $657.35 $657.35 $-24.89
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 5:10pm ET $0.0852 7,716 $657.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 5:25am ET $0.0895 7,716 $690.38 $690.38 +$29.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.0846 8,157 $690.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.0819 8,157 $667.87 $667.87 $-25.91
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.0819 8,150 $667.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $0.0867 8,150 $706.39 $706.39 +$35.09
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET $0.0852 8,289 $706.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $0.0895 8,289 $741.83 $741.83 +$31.82
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.0786 9,441 $741.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:20pm ET $0.0825 9,441 $779.25 $779.25 +$33.62
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:50am ET $0.1009 7,720 $779.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 6:30am ET $0.0977 7,720 $754.43 $754.43 $-28.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $0.0963 7,830 $754.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $0.0930 7,830 $728.14 $728.14 $-30.00
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 5:35am ET $0.0916 7,946 $728.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.0964 7,946 $766.04 $766.04 +$34.17
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $766.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,233.96
Total Return: -92.34%
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