Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.8%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,540.26
Current Value
$3,059.72
Period P&L
$-480.55
Max Drawdown
-57.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
-2.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$44,967.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-480.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-480.55
Gross Return
-13.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $3,540.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $5.13 690 $3,539.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET $4.95 690 $3,418.95 $3,419.52 $-120.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.16 663 $3,417.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:25am ET $4.99 663 $3,311.68 $3,313.44 $-106.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $4.72 701 $3,312.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $4.58 701 $3,210.58 $3,211.80 $-101.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET $4.74 677 $3,208.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.57 677 $3,097.27 $3,100.10 $-111.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $4.55 681 $3,098.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $4.39 681 $2,992.99 $2,994.54 $-105.56
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $4.03 743 $2,990.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $4.24 743 $3,154.03 $3,158.00 +$163.46
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $4.18 756 $3,156.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET $4.05 756 $3,058.02 $3,059.72 $-98.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,059.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,940.28
Total Return: -69.40%
Back to Danny Dip