Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 13:58:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-15.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$420.06
Current Value
$380.80
Period P&L
$-90.29
Max Drawdown
-96.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
-1.60%
Avg Hold Time
23.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$8,372.68
Estimated Fees
$20.93
Gross P&L
$-90.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-111.22
Gross Return
-21.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.48%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $420.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $9.55 47 $450.18
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 3:35am ET $9.26 47 $436.50 $436.50 $-15.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:05am ET $8.80 50 $436.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:00pm ET $9.26 50 $459.00 $459.00 +$20.26
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $8.55 54 $459.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 7:30pm ET $8.26 54 $443.36 $443.36 $-17.89
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET $8.13 55 $443.36
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $7.82 55 $426.51 $426.51 $-19.03
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $7.93 54 $426.51
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:50am ET $7.69 54 $413.54 $413.54 $-15.07
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:05am ET $7.60 54 $413.54
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $7.37 54 $401.10 $401.10 $-14.47
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $7.35 55 $401.10
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $7.12 55 $388.24 $388.24 $-14.83
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $7.14 54 $388.24
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 9:15pm ET $7.50 54 $407.80 $407.80 +$17.57
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 8:40pm ET $7.83 52 $407.80
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 4:10pm ET $7.58 52 $394.80 $394.80 $-15.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $8.12 49 $394.80
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $7.83 49 $380.80 $380.80 $-15.94
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $380.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,619.20
Total Return: -96.19%
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