Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:46:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

4
-6.7%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,891.88
Current Value
$7,127.95
Period P&L
$-763.88
Max Drawdown
-46.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.78%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
-1.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,675.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-763.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-763.88
Gross Return
-9.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,891.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $11.58 681 $7,885.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:40am ET $11.22 681 $7,637.42 $7,643.27 $-248.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.88 643 $7,635.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $11.40 643 $7,330.14 $7,337.78 $-305.49
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:15am ET $10.38 707 $7,335.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $10.03 707 $7,091.21 $7,093.86 $-243.92
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $11.44 620 $7,092.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $12.02 620 $7,449.30 $7,450.36 +$356.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $11.57 643 $7,439.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $12.24 643 $7,869.55 $7,880.40 +$430.04
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:00am ET $11.53 683 $7,878.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $11.13 683 $7,598.38 $7,600.37 $-280.03
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.16 680 $7,592.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $10.82 680 $7,357.60 $7,365.77 $-234.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $13.38 550 $7,360.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:25am ET $12.95 550 $7,122.44 $7,127.95 $-237.82
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,127.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,872.05
Total Return: -28.72%
Back to Danny Dip