Compendium › Danny Dip › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-21 to present • 3 trades in period

-2.57%
Last Month Return
$8,201.87
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$8,417.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:56:28

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,417.85
Current Value
$8,201.87
Period P&L
$-216.00
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.36%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$50,657.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-216.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-216.00
Gross Return
-2.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,417.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $251.99 33 $8,315.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $265.49 33 $8,761.17 $8,863.37 +$445.50
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 30 $8,669.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 30 $8,370.30 $8,564.57 $-298.80
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $272.65 31 $8,452.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 31 $8,089.45 $8,201.87 $-362.70
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,201.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,798.13
Total Return: -17.98%
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