Compendium › Danny Dip › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 25 trades in period

-38.49%
Last Month Return
$742.39
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$579.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

10
-23.9%
30d Return
26%
Win Rate
23
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,982
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$579.37
Current Value
$742.39
Period P&L
$-223.01
Max Drawdown
-99.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
8 / 17
Best Trade
+5.91%
Worst Trade
-3.87%
Avg Trade Return
-0.56%
Avg Hold Time
11.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$39,357.53
Estimated Fees
$98.39
Gross P&L
$-223.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-321.41
Gross Return
-38.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-55.48%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $579.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:55am ET $0.00000404 215,730,198 $871.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:10pm ET $0.00000427 215,730,198 $921.17 $921.17 +$45.14
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:35am ET $0.00000416 221,435,096 $921.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 5:55am ET $0.00000403 221,435,096 $892.38 $892.38 $-33.32
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.00000384 232,390,625 $892.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000372 232,390,625 $864.49 $864.49 $-32.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:20pm ET $0.00000384 225,127,604 $864.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $0.00000370 225,127,604 $832.97 $832.97 $-35.76
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $0.00000371 224,520,216 $832.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000357 224,520,216 $801.54 $801.54 $-35.52
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:20pm ET $0.00000354 226,423,729 $801.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:40pm ET $0.00000341 226,423,729 $772.10 $772.10 $-33.37
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:45pm ET $0.00000340 227,088,235 $772.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 5:10am ET $0.00000357 227,088,235 $810.71 $810.71 +$34.65
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 6:35pm ET $0.00000368 220,301,630 $810.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET $0.00000356 220,301,630 $784.27 $784.27 $-30.42
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 8:40am ET $0.00000358 219,069,832 $784.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.00000346 219,069,832 $757.98 $757.98 $-30.14
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:20pm ET $0.00000364 208,236,264 $757.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $0.00000353 208,236,264 $735.07 $735.07 $-26.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:15am ET $0.00000341 215,563,050 $735.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $0.00000330 215,563,050 $711.36 $711.36 $-27.33
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.00000325 218,880,000 $711.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2026 11:15am ET $0.00000342 218,880,000 $748.57 $748.57 +$33.56
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:45am ET $0.00000338 221,470,414 $748.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.00000327 221,470,414 $724.21 $724.21 $-28.04
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40pm ET $0.00000372 194,680,108 $724.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.00000394 194,680,108 $767.04 $767.04 +$39.10
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 5:40pm ET $0.00000407 188,461,916 $767.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 11:00pm ET $0.00000393 188,461,916 $740.66 $740.66 $-30.15
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 11:05pm ET $0.00000393 188,463,104 $740.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 4:40am ET $0.00000413 188,463,104 $778.35 $778.35 +$33.90
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET $0.00000475 163,863,158 $778.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $0.00000501 163,863,158 $820.95 $820.95 +$38.61
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.00000490 167,540,816 $820.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000474 167,540,816 $794.14 $794.14 $-30.84
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 7:45pm ET $0.00000472 168,250,000 $794.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 8:30pm ET $0.00000497 168,250,000 $836.20 $836.20 +$37.99
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:55am ET $0.00000513 163,001,949 $836.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:05am ET $0.00000497 163,001,949 $810.12 $810.12 $-30.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.00000501 161,700,599 $810.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET $0.00000484 161,700,599 $782.63 $782.63 $-31.47
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 7:30am ET $0.00000470 166,517,021 $782.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $0.00000453 166,517,021 $754.32 $754.32 $-32.15
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $0.00000454 166,149,780 $754.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $0.00000439 166,149,780 $729.40 $729.40 $-28.63
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:55am ET $0.00000439 166,150,342 $729.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:35am ET $0.00000422 166,150,342 $701.15 $701.15 $-31.82
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 5:40am ET $0.00000425 164,976,471 $701.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000450 164,976,471 $742.39 $742.39 +$37.64
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $742.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,257.61
Total Return: -92.58%
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