Compendium › Danny Dip › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-21 to present • 16 trades in period

-14.10%
Last Month Return
$747.48
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$658.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 13:57:42

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$658.81
Current Value
$747.48
Period P&L
$-92.90
Max Drawdown
-99.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+6.03%
Worst Trade
-4.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$24,358.67
Estimated Fees
$60.90
Gross P&L
$-92.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-153.80
Gross Return
-14.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.35%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $658.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $0.00000361 210,595,568 $760.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $0.00000380 210,595,568 $800.26 $800.26 +$36.11
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 3:55am ET $0.00000348 229,959,770 $800.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 4:40pm ET $0.00000369 229,959,770 $848.55 $848.55 +$44.17
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:25am ET $0.00000333 254,819,820 $848.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000322 254,819,820 $820.52 $820.52 $-32.20
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $0.00000321 255,613,707 $820.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $0.00000311 255,613,707 $794.96 $794.96 $-29.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $0.00000313 253,980,831 $794.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET $0.00000303 253,980,831 $769.56 $769.56 $-29.31
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $0.00000299 257,377,926 $769.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $0.00000286 257,377,926 $736.10 $736.10 $-37.22
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.00000291 252,955,326 $736.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:20pm ET $0.00000307 252,955,326 $776.57 $776.57 +$36.69
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 4:15am ET $0.00000297 261,471,380 $776.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:45pm ET $0.00000288 261,471,380 $753.04 $753.04 $-27.36
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $0.00000283 266,091,873 $753.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $0.00000271 266,091,873 $721.11 $721.11 $-35.62
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET $0.00000274 263,178,832 $721.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.00000265 263,178,832 $697.42 $697.42 $-27.23
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $0.00000265 263,177,358 $697.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $0.00000257 263,177,358 $676.37 $676.37 $-24.49
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $0.00000258 262,158,915 $676.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 4:30am ET $0.00000272 262,158,915 $713.07 $713.07 +$33.23
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 6:20am ET $0.00000264 270,102,273 $713.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 4:45am ET $0.00000278 270,102,273 $750.88 $750.88 +$34.15
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $0.00000269 279,137,546 $750.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $0.00000285 279,137,546 $795.54 $795.54 +$40.80
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000298 266,959,732 $795.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $0.00000289 266,959,732 $771.51 $771.51 $-27.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $0.00000289 266,958,478 $771.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $0.00000280 266,958,478 $747.48 $747.48 $-27.82
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $747.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,252.52
Total Return: -92.53%
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