Compendium › Danny Dip › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+1.02%
Last Month Return
$51,718.87
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$51,198.62
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.8/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 69.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 69.4

30-Day Momentum

15
+3.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$51,198.62
Current Value
$51,718.87
Period P&L
$520.27
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$405,696.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$520.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$520.27
Gross Return
+1.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $51,198.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $171.93 290 $49,859.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $181.14 290 $52,530.60 $52,557.25 +$2,670.90
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $173.94 302 $52,529.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $167.77 302 $50,666.54 $50,693.91 $-1,863.34
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $177.93 284 $50,530.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $172.05 284 $48,863.62 $49,026.83 $-1,667.08
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $169.59 289 $49,011.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 289 $51,703.54 $51,718.87 +$2,692.04
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $51,718.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$41,718.87
Total Return: +417.19%
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