Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:31:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,315.95
Current Value
$4,175.47
Period P&L
$-140.48
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+6.06%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$47,814.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-140.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-140.48
Gross Return
-3.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,315.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $20.77 207 $4,299.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $19.99 207 $4,137.93 $4,154.49 $-161.46
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $18.33 226 $4,142.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $17.78 226 $4,018.28 $4,030.19 $-124.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $21.17 190 $4,022.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $20.27 190 $3,851.30 $3,859.19 $-171.00
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $20.37 189 $3,849.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $19.75 189 $3,732.75 $3,742.01 $-117.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $20.26 184 $3,727.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $21.32 184 $3,922.88 $3,937.05 +$195.04
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $23.85 165 $3,935.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $25.30 165 $4,173.68 $4,175.47 +$238.42
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,175.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,824.53
Total Return: -58.25%
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