Compendium › Danny Dip › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+6.88%
Last Month Return
$1,405.02
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$1,117.91
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

29
+7.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,117.91
Current Value
$1,405.02
Period P&L
$76.96
Max Drawdown
-92.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+2.49%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$7,917.96
Estimated Fees
$19.79
Gross P&L
$76.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$57.17
Gross Return
+6.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.11%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $1,117.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $104.34 13 $1,308.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:50pm ET $100.92 13 $1,265.38 $1,265.38 $-49.32
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:15am ET $101.12 13 $1,265.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 11:40pm ET $106.84 13 $1,336.96 $1,336.96 +$65.07
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $95.86 14 $1,336.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 8:15am ET $100.74 14 $1,405.02 $1,405.02 +$61.21
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,405.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,594.98
Total Return: -85.95%
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