Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 13:56:56

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-7.4%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,210.13
Current Value
$1,211.98
Period P&L
$-157.54
Max Drawdown
-92.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
16.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$24,102.77
Estimated Fees
$60.26
Gross P&L
$-157.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-217.80
Gross Return
-13.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $1,210.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $76.18 17 $1,309.28
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET $73.73 17 $1,267.17 $1,267.17 $-48.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:00pm ET $73.59 17 $1,267.17
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:55pm ET $71.26 17 $1,227.05 $1,227.05 $-46.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $69.09 18 $1,227.05
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $66.82 18 $1,186.73 $1,186.73 $-46.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $67.71 18 $1,186.73
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $71.40 18 $1,251.40 $1,251.40 +$58.58
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 4:15am ET $68.45 18 $1,251.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:55am ET $66.23 18 $1,210.81 $1,210.81 $-46.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:05am ET $65.81 18 $1,210.81
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $63.73 18 $1,172.54 $1,172.54 $-44.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $62.77 19 $1,172.54
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $60.53 19 $1,130.70 $1,130.70 $-47.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:40am ET $60.54 19 $1,130.70
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 9:30pm ET $63.73 19 $1,190.28 $1,190.28 +$53.78
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $71.99 17 $1,190.28
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $69.80 17 $1,154.07 $1,154.07 $-42.07
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $68.95 17 $1,154.07
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 6:05pm ET $72.41 17 $1,211.98 $1,211.98 +$52.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,211.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,788.02
Total Return: -87.88%
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