Compendium › Danny Dip › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+6.68%
Last Month Return
$15,443.91
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,477.50
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

27
+6.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.1 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,477.50
Current Value
$15,443.91
Period P&L
$966.38
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
+2.27%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,365.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$966.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$966.38
Gross Return
+6.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,477.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $69.11 209 $14,443.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET $72.57 209 $15,168.17 $15,201.72 +$724.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $71.76 211 $15,142.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $69.14 211 $14,588.54 $14,647.85 $-553.88
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $68.93 212 $14,613.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.68 212 $15,409.22 $15,443.91 +$796.06
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,443.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,443.91
Total Return: +54.44%
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