Compendium › Danny Dip › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 2 trades in period

+8.27%
Last Month Return
$14,663.62
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$13,544.18
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:06:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 28.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,544.18
Current Value
$14,663.62
Period P&L
$1,119.46
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.85

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+5.43%
Worst Trade
+1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+3.53%
Avg Hold Time
12d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,985.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,119.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,119.46
Gross Return
+8.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,544.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET $353.56 38 $13,435.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $372.76 38 $14,164.88 $14,434.88 +$729.60
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $360.98 39 $14,078.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $366.85 39 $14,307.15 $14,663.62 +$228.74
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,663.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,663.62
Total Return: +46.64%
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