Compendium › Danny Dip › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+6.79%
Last Month Return
$10,334.16
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,677.47
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
5.3/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 13.8/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

24
+6.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,677.47
Current Value
$10,334.16
Period P&L
$656.67
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+6.90%
Worst Trade
-4.96%
Avg Trade Return
+2.37%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$61,970.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$656.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$656.67
Gross Return
+6.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,677.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $128.32 75 $9,624.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $137.18 75 $10,288.13 $10,341.61 +$664.12
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $152.61 67 $10,224.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $160.50 67 $10,753.55 $10,870.29 +$528.68
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $156.64 69 $10,808.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $148.87 69 $10,272.03 $10,334.16 $-536.13
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,334.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$334.16
Total Return: +3.34%
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