Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:48:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 25.1/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 20.5

30-Day Momentum

2
-5.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,768
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,313.91
Current Value
$12,318.73
Period P&L
$4.81
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+6.80%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$148,270.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$4.81
Gross Return
+0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,313.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 103 $12,278.22
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.31 103 $13,112.93 $13,148.63 +$834.71
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $123.58 106 $13,099.42
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 106 $12,174.50 $12,223.72 $-924.91
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $122.99 99 $12,176.01
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $129.42 99 $12,812.58 $12,860.29 +$636.57
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $146.58 87 $12,752.25
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $140.88 87 $12,256.13 $12,364.16 $-496.13
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $143.92 85 $12,233.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $135.51 85 $11,518.35 $11,649.31 $-714.85
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $128.82 90 $11,593.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $136.26 90 $12,263.22 $12,318.73 +$669.42
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,318.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,318.73
Total Return: +23.19%
Back to Danny Dip