Compendium › Danny Dip › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-10.81%
Last Month Return
$5,210.79
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$5,842.23
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-10.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,842.23
Current Value
$5,210.79
Period P&L
$-631.43
Max Drawdown
-61.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-4.73

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-3.03%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-3.58%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$44,814.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-631.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-631.43
Gross Return
-10.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,842.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $19.91 302 $6,012.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $19.24 302 $5,810.48 $5,824.13 $-202.34
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET $18.32 317 $5,805.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $17.76 317 $5,629.92 $5,648.19 $-175.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.29 308 $5,633.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 308 $5,359.20 $5,374.07 $-274.12
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $17.08 314 $5,363.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $16.56 314 $5,199.84 $5,210.79 $-163.28
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,210.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,789.21
Total Return: -47.89%
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