Compendium › Danny Dip › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-21 to present • 4 trades in period

-6.44%
Last Month Return
$2,750.98
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$2,768.54
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:23:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

1
-4.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,161
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$2,768.54
Current Value
$2,750.98
Period P&L
$-178.43
Max Drawdown
-82.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
-1.03%
Avg Hold Time
20.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$22,279.63
Estimated Fees
$55.70
Gross P&L
$-178.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-234.13
Gross Return
-6.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.46%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $2,768.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $1.17 2,458 $2,873.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:40am ET $1.13 2,458 $2,787.22 $2,787.22 $-100.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $1.10 2,523 $2,787.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $1.07 2,523 $2,702.35 $2,702.35 $-98.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $1.07 2,531 $2,702.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 10:50pm ET $1.12 2,531 $2,837.90 $2,837.90 +$121.70
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $1.18 2,406 $2,837.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $1.14 2,406 $2,750.98 $2,750.98 $-100.89
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,750.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,249.02
Total Return: -72.49%
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