ACN Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 30 trades in period
-32.57%
Last Year Return
$6,688.84
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$9,918.96
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 3.4
30-Day Momentum
0
-3.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,576
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
255 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,918.96
Current Value
$6,688.84
Period P&L
$-3,230.14
Max Drawdown
-14.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
9 /
21
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.25%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$494,938.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,230.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,230.14
Gross Return
-32.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-32.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 255 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,918.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $245.62 | 40 | $9,824.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $237.90 | 40 | $9,515.80 | $9,609.97 |
$-309.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $247.05 | 38 | $9,387.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.10 | 38 | $9,351.61 | $9,573.68 |
$-36.29 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $266.25 | 35 | $9,318.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.33 | 35 | $9,356.38 | $9,611.31 |
+$37.62 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
15d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.33 | 38 | $9,512.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $242.67 | 38 | $9,221.46 | $9,320.23 |
$-291.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $233.14 | 39 | $9,092.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $237.26 | 39 | $9,253.33 | $9,481.06 |
+$160.83 (+1.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $218.80 | 43 | $9,408.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $211.90 | 43 | $9,111.70 | $9,184.36 |
$-296.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $209.00 | 43 | $8,987.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $202.46 | 43 | $8,705.57 | $8,902.93 |
$-281.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.24 | 46 | $8,888.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $203.62 | 46 | $9,366.40 | $9,380.52 |
+$477.59 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $211.26 | 44 | $9,295.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.86 | 44 | $9,013.84 | $9,099.14 |
$-281.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $197.70 | 46 | $9,094.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.00 | 46 | $8,602.00 | $8,606.94 |
$-492.20 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.05 | 44 | $8,538.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.75 | 44 | $8,745.00 | $8,813.52 |
+$206.58 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.25 | 46 | $8,659.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $181.80 | 46 | $8,362.80 | $8,516.82 |
$-296.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.52 | 47 | $8,484.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $175.05 | 47 | $8,227.58 | $8,259.87 |
$-256.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $174.06 | 47 | $8,180.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.52 | 47 | $7,873.44 | $7,952.49 |
$-307.38 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.04 | 46 | $7,867.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $179.88 | 46 | $8,274.71 | $8,359.36 |
+$406.87 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $174.19 | 47 | $8,186.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $183.03 | 47 | $8,602.41 | $8,774.84 |
+$415.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.46 | 46 | $8,715.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.93 | 46 | $8,414.78 | $8,474.46 |
$-300.38 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $165.19 | 51 | $8,424.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $159.99 | 51 | $8,159.49 | $8,209.26 |
$-265.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.81 | 65 | $8,177.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $121.91 | 65 | $7,924.15 | $7,956.09 |
$-253.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.97 | 62 | $7,872.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $123.03 | 62 | $7,627.55 | $7,711.19 |
$-244.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.40 | 57 | $7,660.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.78 | 57 | $8,081.46 | $8,132.13 |
+$420.94 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.10 | 58 | $8,067.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.40 | 58 | $7,563.20 | $7,627.82 |
$-504.31 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $137.41 | 55 | $7,557.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.17 | 55 | $7,269.35 | $7,339.62 |
$-288.20 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $142.17 | 51 | $7,250.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $136.16 | 51 | $6,944.16 | $7,033.11 |
$-306.51 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.98 | 42 | $6,929.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $173.43 | 42 | $7,283.85 | $7,387.80 |
+$354.69 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $179.10 | 41 | $7,342.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.51 | 41 | $7,113.71 | $7,158.61 |
$-229.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $182.11 | 39 | $7,102.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $191.32 | 39 | $7,461.67 | $7,517.99 |
+$359.38 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $188.17 | 39 | $7,338.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.00 | 39 | $6,942.00 | $7,121.36 |
$-396.63 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.76 | 37 | $7,020.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $183.85 | 37 | $6,802.45 | $6,902.88 |
$-218.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $186.38 | 37 | $6,896.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $180.60 | 37 | $6,682.20 | $6,688.84 |
$-214.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,688.84
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,311.16
Total Return:
-33.11%