Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:00:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 35.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,734
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,512.92
Current Value
$14,221.96
Period P&L
$709.02
Max Drawdown
-17.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+5.44%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$391,326.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$709.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$709.02
Gross Return
+5.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,512.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $219.81 61 $13,408.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $213.20 61 $13,005.20 $13,110.02 $-402.91
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $225.36 58 $13,070.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $218.54 58 $12,675.32 $12,714.46 $-395.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $227.54 55 $12,514.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $239.34 55 $13,163.70 $13,363.46 +$649.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:00am ET $237.25 56 $13,286.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $224.82 56 $12,589.92 $12,667.38 $-696.08
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 62 $12,586.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $208.92 62 $12,952.88 $13,033.34 +$365.95
(+2.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET $207.52 62 $12,866.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $212.59 62 $13,180.58 $13,347.37 +$314.03
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $201.77 66 $13,317.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET $211.96 66 $13,989.47 $14,019.69 +$672.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET $258.24 54 $13,945.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $271.85 54 $14,679.90 $14,754.36 +$734.67
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:50am ET $256.74 57 $14,634.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $270.05 57 $15,392.85 $15,513.03 +$758.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 58 $15,260.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 58 $14,798.70 $15,051.06 $-461.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $234.04 64 $14,978.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $246.78 64 $15,793.92 $15,866.42 +$815.36
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $236.89 66 $15,634.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $226.23 66 $14,931.18 $15,162.86 $-703.56
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $244.17 62 $15,138.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $236.38 62 $14,655.56 $14,679.88 $-482.98
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $276.73 53 $14,666.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:50am ET $268.09 53 $14,208.77 $14,221.96 $-457.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,221.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,221.96
Total Return: +42.22%
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