CRM Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 34 trades in period
+25.96%
Last Year Return
$10,235.57
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$8,126.01
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
8.8/100
× Confidence 0.89
= 7.9
30-Day Momentum
19
+8.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.3
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,085
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,126.01
Current Value
$10,235.57
Period P&L
$2,109.53
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
15 /
19
Best Trade
+16.07%
Worst Trade
-5.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$592,493.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,109.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,109.53
Gross Return
+25.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.96%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,126.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $237.35 | 34 | $8,069.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:40pm ET | $249.34 | 34 | $8,477.60 | $8,533.73 |
+$407.70 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $246.41 | 34 | $8,377.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $258.74 | 34 | $8,796.99 | $8,952.78 |
+$419.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.23 | 36 | $8,864.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $238.44 | 36 | $8,583.89 | $8,672.57 |
$-280.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $227.25 | 38 | $8,635.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $238.86 | 38 | $9,076.62 | $9,113.65 |
+$441.08 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $255.15 | 35 | $8,930.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $268.71 | 35 | $9,404.68 | $9,588.08 |
+$474.42 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $256.57 | 37 | $9,493.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $248.44 | 37 | $9,192.28 | $9,287.27 |
$-300.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $227.21 | 40 | $9,088.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.08 | 40 | $8,603.00 | $8,801.87 |
$-485.40 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.56 | 43 | $8,753.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $197.35 | 43 | $8,486.26 | $8,535.05 |
$-266.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $194.03 | 43 | $8,343.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $187.32 | 43 | $8,054.76 | $8,246.48 |
$-288.57 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $184.89 | 44 | $8,135.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $177.88 | 44 | $7,826.61 | $7,937.93 |
$-308.55 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.42 | 41 | $7,848.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $202.00 | 41 | $8,282.00 | $8,371.71 |
+$433.78 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $192.74 | 43 | $8,288.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $203.35 | 43 | $8,744.05 | $8,827.73 |
+$456.02 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.99 | 46 | $8,693.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $183.24 | 46 | $8,429.04 | $8,563.23 |
$-264.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $179.40 | 47 | $8,431.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.73 | 47 | $8,118.31 | $8,249.97 |
$-313.26 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $165.52 | 49 | $8,110.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.82 | 49 | $8,615.18 | $8,754.67 |
+$504.70 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.09 | 49 | $8,677.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $171.70 | 49 | $8,413.06 | $8,490.32 |
$-264.35 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.76 | 48 | $8,388.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $183.87 | 48 | $8,825.76 | $8,927.60 |
+$437.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.68 | 49 | $8,804.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $174.20 | 49 | $8,535.56 | $8,658.84 |
$-268.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $181.49 | 47 | $8,530.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.04 | 47 | $8,274.11 | $8,402.92 |
$-255.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.39 | 48 | $8,274.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.30 | 48 | $8,750.64 | $8,878.84 |
+$475.92 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.70 | 51 | $8,858.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.41 | 51 | $9,405.16 | $9,425.30 |
+$546.46 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.54 | 46 | $9,316.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $196.23 | 46 | $9,026.70 | $9,135.16 |
$-290.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $176.57 | 51 | $9,005.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.62 | 51 | $8,701.62 | $8,831.45 |
$-303.71 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.06 | 52 | $8,687.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.91 | 52 | $8,419.32 | $8,563.65 |
$-267.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.50 | 56 | $8,540.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $147.84 | 56 | $8,279.04 | $8,302.69 |
$-260.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.88 | 50 | $8,294.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.91 | 50 | $7,895.50 | $7,904.19 |
$-398.50 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.98 | 48 | $7,775.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET | $170.36 | 48 | $8,177.28 | $8,306.43 |
+$402.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.14 | 49 | $8,189.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.91 | 49 | $7,933.83 | $8,050.40 |
$-256.03 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.70 | 44 | $7,950.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.53 | 44 | $8,383.32 | $8,482.92 |
+$432.52 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.87 | 46 | $8,458.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $193.61 | 46 | $8,906.06 | $8,930.96 |
+$448.04 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $190.55 | 46 | $8,765.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $200.76 | 46 | $9,234.96 | $9,400.62 |
+$469.66 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.45 | 47 | $9,374.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.50 | 47 | $10,880.50 | $10,906.97 |
+$1,506.35 (+16.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.00 | 42 | $10,752.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.57 | 42 | $10,397.94 | $10,552.91 |
$-354.06 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.89 | 43 | $10,487.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $236.51 | 43 | $10,169.93 | $10,235.57 |
$-317.34 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,235.57
Net Profit/Loss:
+$235.57
Total Return:
+2.36%