DKNG Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 54 trades in period
+1.81%
Last Year Return
$13,599.60
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$13,358.02
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
22.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 22.0
30-Day Momentum
7
+0.4%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.5
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,584
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,358.02
Current Value
$13,599.60
Period P&L
$241.57
Max Drawdown
-45.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
21 /
33
Best Trade
+9.71%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,365,194.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$241.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$241.57
Gross Return
+1.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,358.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $41.64 | 320 | $13,324.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $40.16 | 320 | $12,851.20 | $12,884.40 |
$-473.63 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $36.77 | 350 | $12,868.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 2:55pm ET | $35.60 | 350 | $12,458.25 | $12,473.82 |
$-410.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.81 | 368 | $12,440.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.70 | 368 | $12,034.59 | $12,068.10 |
$-405.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $33.90 | 355 | $12,036.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $32.75 | 355 | $11,626.25 | $11,658.29 |
$-409.81 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $33.65 | 346 | $11,642.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.27 | 346 | $11,165.42 | $11,180.81 |
$-477.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.98 | 349 | $11,159.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 1:15pm ET | $30.89 | 349 | $10,778.87 | $10,800.40 |
$-380.41 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.22 | 357 | $10,788.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $29.31 | 357 | $10,461.89 | $10,473.74 |
$-326.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.95 | 388 | $10,456.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET | $28.34 | 388 | $10,995.92 | $11,013.10 |
+$539.36 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $30.07 | 366 | $11,005.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:55am ET | $31.71 | 366 | $11,605.86 | $11,613.34 |
+$600.24 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $30.56 | 380 | $11,610.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $29.59 | 380 | $11,242.30 | $11,244.74 |
$-368.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $28.78 | 390 | $11,224.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.32 | 390 | $11,824.80 | $11,845.34 |
+$600.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:15pm ET | $34.45 | 343 | $11,816.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.20 | 343 | $12,416.60 | $12,445.59 |
+$600.25 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.75 | 358 | $12,440.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.69 | 358 | $12,061.02 | $12,066.11 |
$-379.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $34.42 | 350 | $12,047.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $36.17 | 350 | $12,659.50 | $12,678.61 |
+$612.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.01 | 372 | $12,651.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $32.81 | 372 | $12,205.32 | $12,232.21 |
$-446.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $31.20 | 392 | $12,230.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $30.23 | 392 | $11,850.16 | $11,851.97 |
$-380.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $29.98 | 395 | $11,843.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.00 | 395 | $11,455.00 | $11,463.01 |
$-388.96 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.65 | 430 | $11,459.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $25.84 | 430 | $11,113.35 | $11,116.86 |
$-346.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.60 | 417 | $11,092.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.77 | 417 | $10,746.09 | $10,770.75 |
$-346.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $21.29 | 505 | $10,751.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $22.41 | 505 | $11,317.05 | $11,336.35 |
+$565.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $21.63 | 524 | $11,334.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.71 | 524 | $11,901.98 | $11,904.21 |
+$567.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.67 | 525 | $11,901.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $23.81 | 525 | $12,500.20 | $12,502.66 |
+$598.45 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $24.89 | 502 | $12,494.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.29 | 502 | $13,197.58 | $13,205.46 |
+$702.80 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.12 | 525 | $13,188.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $24.36 | 525 | $12,789.00 | $12,806.46 |
$-399.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.12 | 530 | $12,783.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.38 | 530 | $12,391.72 | $12,414.58 |
$-391.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.82 | 544 | $12,414.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $22.10 | 544 | $12,022.40 | $12,022.90 |
$-391.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $20.68 | 581 | $12,015.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.89 | 581 | $12,715.19 | $12,723.00 |
+$700.10 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.18 | 548 | $12,701.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $22.47 | 548 | $12,313.51 | $12,334.96 |
$-388.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.07 | 534 | $12,319.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $22.33 | 534 | $11,923.85 | $11,939.43 |
$-395.53 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $24.10 | 495 | $11,929.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.44 | 495 | $13,087.80 | $13,097.73 |
+$1,158.30 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.08 | 522 | $13,089.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $24.30 | 522 | $12,684.60 | $12,693.18 |
$-404.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.02 | 528 | $12,682.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $25.23 | 528 | $13,321.44 | $13,332.06 |
+$638.88 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $25.09 | 531 | $13,325.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.97 | 531 | $12,728.97 | $12,735.59 |
$-596.47 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.79 | 535 | $12,727.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.30 | 535 | $13,535.50 | $13,543.44 |
+$807.85 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.49 | 531 | $13,535.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.70 | 531 | $13,115.70 | $13,123.95 |
$-419.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $26.63 | 492 | $13,101.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.17 | 492 | $13,858.66 | $13,880.65 |
+$756.70 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $28.87 | 480 | $13,857.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $27.92 | 480 | $13,401.60 | $13,424.65 |
$-456.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.55 | 525 | $13,413.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $24.77 | 525 | $13,004.25 | $13,015.15 |
$-409.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.02 | 520 | $13,010.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.33 | 520 | $13,691.60 | $13,696.35 |
+$681.20 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $25.31 | 541 | $13,690.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.96 | 541 | $14,585.36 | $14,591.70 |
+$895.35 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $26.33 | 554 | $14,589.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $25.49 | 554 | $14,121.46 | $14,123.57 |
$-468.13 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.20 | 583 | $14,108.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.11 | 583 | $13,473.13 | $13,488.10 |
$-635.47 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.85 | 565 | $13,475.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $23.13 | 565 | $13,068.34 | $13,081.19 |
$-406.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.72 | 575 | $13,064.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $22.00 | 575 | $12,650.00 | $12,667.19 |
$-414.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.34 | 567 | $12,666.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $23.48 | 567 | $13,313.16 | $13,313.57 |
+$646.38 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $24.30 | 547 | $13,292.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.55 | 547 | $13,973.12 | $13,994.59 |
+$681.02 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.62 | 546 | $13,989.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.81 | 546 | $13,543.53 | $13,548.94 |
$-445.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $25.11 | 539 | $13,534.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.41 | 539 | $14,232.30 | $14,246.95 |
+$698.01 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $25.04 | 568 | $14,222.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $24.26 | 568 | $13,779.68 | $13,803.91 |
$-443.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.65 | 538 | $13,799.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.26 | 538 | $13,051.88 | $13,056.09 |
$-747.82 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.59 | 553 | $13,045.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $24.83 | 553 | $13,730.99 | $13,741.81 |
+$685.72 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.73 | 579 | $13,736.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.05 | 579 | $14,502.79 | $14,507.83 |
+$766.02 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.11 | 601 | $14,490.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 12:30pm ET | $23.39 | 601 | $14,054.39 | $14,072.10 |
$-435.73 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $22.31 | 630 | $14,055.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.56 | 630 | $13,582.80 | $13,599.60 |
$-472.50 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,599.60
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,599.60
Total Return:
+36.00%