Compendium › Danny Dip › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 26 trades in period

+6.96%
Last Year Return
$10,177.79
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,515.31
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:17:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
3.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 8.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,100
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,515.31
Current Value
$10,177.79
Period P&L
$662.44
Max Drawdown
-47.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$481,468.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$662.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$662.44
Gross Return
+6.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,515.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $188.50 50 $9,425.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $181.34 50 $9,066.75 $9,157.10 $-358.25
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $201.22 45 $9,054.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.15 45 $8,781.75 $8,883.95 $-273.15
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $184.71 48 $8,866.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $194.33 48 $9,327.99 $9,345.87 +$461.91
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:45am ET $193.32 48 $9,279.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $187.08 48 $8,979.84 $9,046.35 $-299.52
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $180.43 50 $9,021.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $192.80 50 $9,640.00 $9,665.10 +$618.75
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $177.59 54 $9,589.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $171.66 54 $9,269.37 $9,344.61 $-320.49
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $178.48 52 $9,280.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $172.98 52 $8,994.96 $9,058.61 $-286.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $182.09 49 $8,922.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $191.31 49 $9,374.19 $9,510.38 +$451.78
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $186.99 50 $9,349.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $181.00 50 $9,050.00 $9,210.88 $-299.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $174.64 52 $9,081.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET $183.46 52 $9,540.18 $9,669.78 +$458.90
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $191.06 50 $9,553.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $185.05 50 $9,252.68 $9,369.46 $-300.32
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $177.27 52 $9,218.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:20am ET $186.36 52 $9,690.72 $9,842.14 +$472.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $176.38 55 $9,701.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.68 55 $9,332.67 $9,473.64 $-368.50
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $209.21 45 $9,414.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $202.87 45 $9,129.15 $9,188.34 $-285.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $215.91 42 $9,068.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 42 $9,535.68 $9,655.80 +$467.46
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $227.34 42 $9,548.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $220.04 42 $9,241.68 $9,349.20 $-306.60
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $219.17 42 $9,205.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $212.31 42 $8,917.02 $9,061.08 $-288.12
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $216.18 41 $8,863.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:15am ET $209.42 41 $8,586.22 $8,783.92 $-277.16
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 43 $8,612.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $210.43 43 $9,048.49 $9,219.94 +$436.02
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 45 $9,090.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.34 45 $8,745.08 $8,875.02 $-344.92
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $193.64 45 $8,713.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $203.32 45 $9,149.62 $9,310.84 +$435.82
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $199.43 46 $9,173.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $209.85 46 $9,653.33 $9,790.39 +$479.55
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $200.09 48 $9,604.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $194.01 48 $9,312.48 $9,498.55 $-291.84
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:15am ET $192.03 49 $9,409.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $201.85 49 $9,890.65 $9,979.73 +$481.18
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:15am ET $218.96 45 $9,853.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $212.22 45 $9,549.90 $9,676.49 $-303.24
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 45 $9,504.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.34 45 $10,005.30 $10,177.79 +$501.30
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,177.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$177.79
Total Return: +1.78%
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