Compendium › Danny Dip › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 29 trades in period

-24.55%
Last Year Return
$7,452.53
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$9,876.88
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

4
+0.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.5 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,443
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,876.88
Current Value
$7,452.53
Period P&L
$-2,424.37
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
9 / 20
Best Trade
+5.39%
Worst Trade
-8.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.90%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$461,325.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,424.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,424.37
Gross Return
-24.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,876.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $216.32 45 $9,734.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $209.13 45 $9,410.85 $9,553.35 $-323.55
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:05am ET $192.62 49 $9,438.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $186.67 49 $9,146.83 $9,262.04 $-291.31
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $183.09 50 $9,154.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $176.50 50 $8,825.00 $8,932.79 $-329.25
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $169.27 52 $8,802.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $164.14 52 $8,535.28 $8,666.03 $-266.76
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $162.26 53 $8,600.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $157.24 53 $8,333.72 $8,399.71 $-266.32
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $161.73 51 $8,248.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $148.51 51 $7,573.76 $7,725.24 $-674.47
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $152.45 50 $7,622.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $147.64 50 $7,382.00 $7,484.99 $-240.25
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $144.78 51 $7,383.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET $152.16 51 $7,760.16 $7,861.37 +$376.38
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $165.31 47 $7,769.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $158.08 47 $7,429.76 $7,521.47 $-339.90
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.33 51 $7,513.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $155.27 51 $7,918.77 $7,926.41 +$404.94
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $168.37 47 $7,913.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $161.76 47 $7,602.49 $7,615.51 $-310.90
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 43 $7,470.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $182.50 43 $7,847.50 $7,992.62 +$377.11
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $175.20 45 $7,884.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $184.65 45 $8,309.25 $8,417.87 +$425.25
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $251.99 33 $8,315.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $265.49 33 $8,761.17 $8,863.37 +$445.50
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 30 $8,669.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 30 $8,370.30 $8,564.57 $-298.80
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $272.65 31 $8,452.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 31 $8,089.45 $8,201.87 $-362.70
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $337.99 24 $8,111.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $355.43 24 $8,530.32 $8,620.43 +$418.56
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $346.13 24 $8,307.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $333.89 24 $8,013.36 $8,326.67 $-293.76
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $328.33 25 $8,208.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $318.17 25 $7,954.13 $8,072.67 $-254.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $347.50 23 $7,992.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:20am ET $366.19 23 $8,422.37 $8,502.54 +$429.87
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.96 24 $8,375.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $337.91 24 $8,109.84 $8,237.34 $-265.20
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET $323.86 25 $8,096.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $310.71 25 $7,767.87 $7,908.72 $-328.62
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $364.34 21 $7,651.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $352.36 21 $7,399.56 $7,657.14 $-251.58
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $363.54 21 $7,634.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:20am ET $352.57 21 $7,403.97 $7,426.87 $-230.27
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:10am ET $349.24 21 $7,333.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $338.14 21 $7,100.94 $7,193.86 $-233.01
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $367.51 19 $6,982.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $356.37 19 $6,771.03 $6,982.20 $-211.66
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $370.74 18 $6,673.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $358.36 18 $6,450.48 $6,759.27 $-222.93
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:45am ET $330.00 20 $6,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $347.31 20 $6,946.13 $7,105.40 +$346.13
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $365.11 19 $6,937.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $383.39 19 $7,284.32 $7,452.53 +$347.13
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,452.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,547.47
Total Return: -25.47%
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