Compendium › Danny Dip › PG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PG
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-06-21 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.49%
Last Year Return
$11,423.77
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,596.15
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 12:48:59

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
65.4/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 262.6/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 32.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,434
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,596.15
Current Value
$11,423.77
Period P&L
$-172.37
Max Drawdown
-3.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,834.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-172.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-172.37
Gross Return
-1.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,596.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $143.01 81 $11,583.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:20pm ET $138.71 81 $11,235.11 $11,247.44 $-348.70
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $159.35 70 $11,154.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $154.07 70 $10,784.90 $10,877.84 $-369.60
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $139.81 77 $10,765.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $146.90 77 $11,311.30 $11,423.77 +$545.93
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,423.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,423.77
Total Return: +14.24%
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