PLTR Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 48 trades in period
-18.37%
Last Year Return
$51,718.87
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$63,358.79
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.8/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
69.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 69.4
30-Day Momentum
15
+3.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$63,358.79
Current Value
$51,718.87
Period P&L
$-11,639.90
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
15 /
33
Best Trade
+17.47%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$4,625,010.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-11,639.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-11,639.90
Gross Return
-18.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $63,358.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $175.03 | 361 | $63,184.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $184.27 | 361 | $66,521.47 | $66,696.23 |
+$3,337.45 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $180.33 | 369 | $66,541.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $174.09 | 369 | $64,239.21 | $64,393.67 |
$-2,302.56 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $180.12 | 357 | $64,302.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $173.99 | 357 | $62,114.43 | $62,205.26 |
$-2,188.41 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:25pm ET | $178.20 | 349 | $62,191.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:20am ET | $171.49 | 349 | $59,850.01 | $59,863.47 |
$-2,341.79 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $188.05 | 318 | $59,799.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:10am ET | $182.30 | 318 | $57,971.37 | $58,034.94 |
$-1,828.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $187.76 | 309 | $58,017.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $181.98 | 309 | $56,231.82 | $56,248.92 |
$-1,786.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:00am ET | $174.50 | 322 | $56,189.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $166.72 | 322 | $53,683.84 | $53,743.76 |
$-2,505.16 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $170.34 | 315 | $53,657.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $165.21 | 315 | $52,041.15 | $52,127.81 |
$-1,615.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET | $159.76 | 326 | $52,081.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $154.63 | 326 | $50,409.38 | $50,455.43 |
$-1,672.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $159.34 | 316 | $50,351.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $167.38 | 316 | $52,890.50 | $52,994.49 |
+$2,539.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $182.83 | 289 | $52,836.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $177.19 | 289 | $51,207.91 | $51,365.68 |
$-1,628.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $173.00 | 296 | $51,206.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $167.66 | 296 | $49,626.95 | $49,786.11 |
$-1,579.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $178.42 | 279 | $49,779.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $172.93 | 279 | $48,247.47 | $48,254.40 |
$-1,531.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $164.05 | 294 | $48,230.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $158.75 | 294 | $46,673.24 | $46,696.93 |
$-1,557.47 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $154.51 | 302 | $46,662.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.76 | 302 | $45,227.52 | $45,262.43 |
$-1,434.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $135.41 | 334 | $45,226.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $131.31 | 334 | $43,856.77 | $43,892.26 |
$-1,370.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.38 | 331 | $43,817.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $128.12 | 331 | $42,407.72 | $42,482.20 |
$-1,410.06 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $140.85 | 301 | $42,397.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.42 | 301 | $44,674.42 | $44,759.60 |
+$2,277.40 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.96 | 286 | $44,604.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $151.13 | 286 | $43,224.61 | $43,379.65 |
$-1,379.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $149.38 | 290 | $43,320.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.73 | 290 | $45,741.70 | $45,801.15 |
+$2,421.50 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $155.92 | 293 | $45,684.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.21 | 293 | $44,011.53 | $44,128.12 |
$-1,673.03 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $142.74 | 309 | $44,106.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $138.35 | 309 | $42,750.15 | $42,771.61 |
$-1,356.51 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 301 | $42,669.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.90 | 301 | $45,119.90 | $45,221.72 |
+$2,450.11 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.38 | 304 | $45,107.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $143.82 | 304 | $43,721.28 | $43,835.48 |
$-1,386.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $125.92 | 348 | $43,820.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $132.77 | 348 | $46,205.70 | $46,220.98 |
+$2,385.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.74 | 312 | $46,096.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $143.29 | 312 | $44,706.48 | $44,831.11 |
$-1,389.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 329 | $44,796.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 329 | $47,359.55 | $47,394.02 |
+$2,562.91 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.93 | 338 | $47,294.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $135.71 | 338 | $45,868.29 | $45,967.66 |
$-1,426.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $133.09 | 345 | $45,917.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:05pm ET | $128.86 | 345 | $44,456.74 | $44,506.97 |
$-1,460.69 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $133.38 | 333 | $44,415.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $140.10 | 333 | $46,653.30 | $46,744.73 |
+$2,237.76 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $156.10 | 299 | $46,673.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $151.24 | 299 | $45,220.76 | $45,291.59 |
$-1,453.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $145.27 | 311 | $45,178.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $140.74 | 311 | $43,770.14 | $43,882.76 |
$-1,408.83 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $132.56 | 331 | $43,877.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $128.33 | 331 | $42,477.23 | $42,482.63 |
$-1,400.13 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $130.35 | 325 | $42,363.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $125.72 | 325 | $40,859.00 | $40,978.11 |
$-1,504.52 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $124.07 | 330 | $40,943.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $120.22 | 330 | $39,672.57 | $39,707.58 |
$-1,270.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.46 | 362 | $39,622.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.25 | 362 | $42,082.50 | $42,167.37 |
+$2,459.79 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $134.39 | 313 | $42,064.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.23 | 313 | $40,761.99 | $40,865.29 |
$-1,302.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.50 | 320 | $40,800.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $133.96 | 320 | $42,867.20 | $42,932.49 |
+$2,067.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $129.51 | 331 | $42,869.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $136.09 | 331 | $45,044.14 | $45,107.16 |
+$2,174.67 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.81 | 352 | $44,989.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $123.61 | 352 | $43,510.72 | $43,628.76 |
$-1,478.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.17 | 345 | $43,528.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $122.25 | 345 | $42,177.60 | $42,277.71 |
$-1,351.05 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $122.98 | 343 | $42,182.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.46 | 343 | $49,549.78 | $49,645.32 |
+$7,367.61 (+17.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $160.44 | 309 | $49,575.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.46 | 309 | $47,417.60 | $47,486.95 |
$-2,158.37 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.95 | 279 | $47,416.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $178.55 | 279 | $49,815.45 | $49,886.35 |
+$2,399.40 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $171.93 | 290 | $49,859.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $181.14 | 290 | $52,530.60 | $52,557.25 |
+$2,670.90 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $173.94 | 302 | $52,529.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $167.77 | 302 | $50,666.54 | $50,693.91 |
$-1,863.34 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $177.93 | 284 | $50,530.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.05 | 284 | $48,863.62 | $49,026.83 |
$-1,667.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.59 | 289 | $49,011.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.90 | 289 | $51,703.54 | $51,718.87 |
+$2,692.04 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$51,718.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$41,718.87
Total Return:
+417.19%