SNOW Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 46 trades in period
-0.65%
Last Year Return
$7,523.47
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$7,572.97
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality
2.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 2.8
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,572.97
Current Value
$7,523.47
Period P&L
$-49.51
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
18 /
28
Best Trade
+9.28%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$647,864.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-49.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-49.51
Gross Return
-0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,572.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $234.60 | 32 | $7,507.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:40am ET | $246.43 | 32 | $7,885.76 | $7,951.54 |
+$378.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $244.27 | 32 | $7,816.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 11:20am ET | $255.20 | 32 | $8,166.40 | $8,301.46 |
+$349.92 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $270.49 | 30 | $8,114.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:45am ET | $262.36 | 30 | $7,870.65 | $8,057.56 |
$-243.90 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $260.90 | 30 | $7,827.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $245.64 | 30 | $7,369.16 | $7,599.61 |
$-457.95 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $253.02 | 30 | $7,590.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET | $245.26 | 30 | $7,357.80 | $7,366.81 |
$-232.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $240.19 | 30 | $7,205.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $230.02 | 30 | $6,900.47 | $7,061.57 |
$-305.24 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $214.73 | 32 | $6,871.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $226.18 | 32 | $7,237.60 | $7,427.81 |
+$366.24 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $218.32 | 34 | $7,422.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $211.50 | 34 | $7,190.96 | $7,195.89 |
$-231.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $206.26 | 34 | $7,012.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.57 | 34 | $7,465.38 | $7,648.56 |
+$452.67 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.48 | 37 | $7,454.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $195.24 | 37 | $7,223.88 | $7,417.59 |
$-230.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.96 | 40 | $7,398.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $179.29 | 40 | $7,171.60 | $7,190.79 |
$-226.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $165.35 | 43 | $7,110.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $160.34 | 43 | $6,894.41 | $6,975.14 |
$-215.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $161.04 | 43 | $6,924.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $169.89 | 43 | $7,305.27 | $7,355.91 |
+$380.76 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.68 | 41 | $7,285.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.04 | 41 | $7,053.64 | $7,124.46 |
$-231.45 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $172.89 | 41 | $7,088.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $166.35 | 41 | $6,820.35 | $6,856.32 |
$-268.14 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $176.73 | 38 | $6,715.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $171.40 | 38 | $6,513.01 | $6,653.78 |
$-202.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.75 | 40 | $6,590.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $159.18 | 40 | $6,367.20 | $6,430.98 |
$-222.80 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $177.01 | 36 | $6,372.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $171.34 | 36 | $6,168.06 | $6,226.68 |
$-204.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.73 | 37 | $6,168.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $161.57 | 37 | $5,978.27 | $6,036.13 |
$-190.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.65 | 38 | $5,952.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $151.90 | 38 | $5,772.20 | $5,855.44 |
$-180.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.86 | 40 | $5,834.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $153.47 | 40 | $6,138.80 | $6,159.84 |
+$304.40 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.01 | 41 | $6,109.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.80 | 41 | $6,428.80 | $6,479.23 |
+$319.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $145.38 | 44 | $6,396.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.59 | 44 | $6,185.96 | $6,268.47 |
$-210.76 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $123.52 | 50 | $6,176.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $119.72 | 50 | $5,986.01 | $6,078.48 |
$-189.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $134.47 | 45 | $6,051.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $141.29 | 45 | $6,357.83 | $6,385.16 |
+$306.68 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $144.89 | 44 | $6,375.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.13 | 44 | $6,737.94 | $6,747.94 |
+$362.78 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.93 | 45 | $6,611.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $142.52 | 45 | $6,413.40 | $6,549.49 |
$-198.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.30 | 47 | $6,453.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.53 | 47 | $6,792.92 | $6,889.31 |
+$339.82 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.57 | 49 | $6,888.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.63 | 49 | $7,527.63 | $7,528.76 |
+$639.45 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.27 | 50 | $7,413.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $156.09 | 50 | $7,804.50 | $7,919.76 |
+$391.00 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $170.49 | 46 | $7,842.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $165.26 | 46 | $7,601.73 | $7,678.72 |
$-241.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.74 | 28 | $7,468.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $258.14 | 28 | $7,227.78 | $7,437.64 |
$-241.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $247.76 | 30 | $7,432.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $240.04 | 30 | $7,201.20 | $7,206.04 |
$-231.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $236.02 | 30 | $7,080.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $248.07 | 30 | $7,441.95 | $7,567.39 |
+$361.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $236.08 | 32 | $7,554.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $222.92 | 32 | $7,133.44 | $7,146.19 |
$-421.20 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $231.84 | 30 | $6,955.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $223.29 | 30 | $6,698.55 | $6,889.54 |
$-256.65 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $219.66 | 31 | $6,809.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $230.97 | 31 | $7,160.07 | $7,240.15 |
+$350.61 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.68 | 28 | $7,215.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.82 | 28 | $7,583.03 | $7,608.00 |
+$367.85 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $269.74 | 28 | $7,552.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $261.41 | 28 | $7,319.48 | $7,374.76 |
$-233.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $264.56 | 27 | $7,143.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $255.64 | 27 | $6,902.28 | $7,133.92 |
$-240.84 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $283.95 | 25 | $7,098.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.78 | 25 | $7,469.50 | $7,504.55 |
+$370.63 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.87 | 24 | $7,340.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $321.23 | 24 | $7,709.52 | $7,873.19 |
+$368.64 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $328.00 | 24 | $7,872.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $317.96 | 24 | $7,631.04 | $7,632.23 |
$-240.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $322.12 | 23 | $7,408.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.54 | 23 | $7,142.42 | $7,365.89 |
$-266.34 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $366.05 | 20 | $7,321.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.89 | 20 | $7,077.80 | $7,122.69 |
$-243.20 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $323.69 | 22 | $7,121.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $341.91 | 22 | $7,521.97 | $7,523.47 |
+$400.78 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,523.47
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,476.53
Total Return:
-24.77%