Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

2
-5.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,718
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,960.35
Current Value
$6,916.77
Period P&L
$-5,043.59
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
65
Winners / Losers
20 / 45
Best Trade
+7.42%
Worst Trade
-9.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,247,051.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,043.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,043.59
Gross Return
-42.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 65 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,960.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $28.95 421 $12,187.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $27.41 421 $11,539.90 $11,543.85 $-648.05
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 9:45am ET $26.65 433 $11,537.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET $25.74 433 $11,145.42 $11,151.98 $-391.87
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $25.34 440 $11,147.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $26.69 440 $11,743.60 $11,747.79 +$595.80
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 12:10pm ET $27.14 432 $11,723.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $28.58 432 $12,344.40 $12,368.92 +$621.13
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $27.57 448 $12,351.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $26.73 448 $11,975.04 $11,992.60 $-376.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $25.97 461 $11,972.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET $27.30 461 $12,583.00 $12,603.42 +$610.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 11:35am ET $27.51 458 $12,597.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:25pm ET $26.67 458 $12,212.57 $12,218.70 $-384.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:20am ET $27.75 440 $12,210.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET $26.78 440 $11,781.00 $11,789.70 $-429.00
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:20am ET $29.26 402 $11,762.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:35pm ET $30.79 402 $12,377.58 $12,404.80 +$615.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $30.19 410 $12,375.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 11:50am ET $29.26 410 $11,996.60 $12,025.55 $-379.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $28.77 417 $11,997.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET $30.21 417 $12,597.57 $12,626.03 +$600.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET $29.61 426 $12,611.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $28.68 426 $12,219.17 $12,233.47 $-392.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:35am ET $26.57 460 $12,219.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:00pm ET $27.92 460 $12,843.20 $12,856.77 +$623.30
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET $29.91 429 $12,831.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $31.46 429 $13,496.34 $13,521.72 +$664.95
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $31.06 435 $13,508.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:20am ET $29.97 435 $13,038.47 $13,051.27 $-470.45
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $27.68 471 $13,034.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:15pm ET $26.81 471 $12,625.16 $12,641.50 $-409.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $27.50 459 $12,622.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $26.63 459 $12,220.88 $12,239.88 $-401.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $26.71 458 $12,233.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:55pm ET $28.14 458 $12,885.83 $12,891.98 +$652.10
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $29.28 440 $12,884.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $27.32 440 $12,020.80 $12,027.82 $-864.16
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $26.61 452 $12,027.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $25.81 452 $11,663.86 $11,663.96 $-363.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $25.89 450 $11,650.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $27.20 450 $12,240.00 $12,253.46 +$589.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $28.56 429 $12,250.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $27.63 429 $11,851.13 $11,854.49 $-398.97
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:55am ET $26.56 446 $11,845.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $25.70 446 $11,459.97 $11,468.70 $-385.79
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.10 456 $11,445.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $24.33 456 $11,092.20 $11,115.30 $-353.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET $23.45 474 $11,115.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $22.74 474 $10,778.76 $10,778.80 $-336.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $22.02 489 $10,767.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $21.34 489 $10,437.70 $10,448.78 $-330.03
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $20.12 519 $10,442.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $19.34 519 $10,040.05 $10,046.55 $-402.23
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $21.07 476 $10,026.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $20.42 476 $9,717.54 $9,737.15 $-309.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $19.26 505 $9,726.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $18.64 505 $9,411.08 $9,421.93 $-315.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.12 519 $9,405.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:50am ET $17.58 519 $9,121.43 $9,138.04 $-283.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $17.85 511 $9,121.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.75 511 $9,583.80 $9,600.49 +$462.45
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET $18.78 511 $9,596.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $17.93 511 $9,162.23 $9,166.14 $-434.35
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $18.34 499 $9,149.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $17.77 499 $8,867.23 $8,883.66 $-282.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $17.08 519 $8,867.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $17.94 519 $9,310.86 $9,327.41 +$443.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $16.86 553 $9,323.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.25 553 $8,986.25 $8,990.14 $-337.27
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $15.52 579 $8,986.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $15.05 579 $8,714.53 $8,718.65 $-271.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $15.61 558 $8,710.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $14.99 558 $8,367.21 $8,375.48 $-343.17
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET $16.92 494 $8,360.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.40 494 $8,099.13 $8,113.66 $-261.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $18.82 431 $8,110.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $19.80 431 $8,533.80 $8,536.51 +$422.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $19.00 449 $8,531.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $18.35 449 $8,239.15 $8,244.03 $-292.48
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.30 450 $8,235.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $16.48 450 $7,416.00 $7,425.03 $-819.00
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
42 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $16.17 459 $7,422.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:45am ET $15.68 459 $7,194.83 $7,197.83 $-227.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
43 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $15.64 460 $7,194.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $15.14 460 $6,962.10 $6,965.53 $-232.30
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
44 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:10am ET $15.38 453 $6,964.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 453 $7,476.76 $7,477.42 +$511.89
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $17.74 421 $7,469.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET $18.64 421 $7,846.01 $7,854.09 +$376.67
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $17.08 459 $7,842.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $16.48 459 $7,562.03 $7,574.10 $-279.99
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $16.52 458 $7,566.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $15.98 458 $7,318.84 $7,326.78 $-247.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $16.11 454 $7,313.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 454 $7,856.47 $7,869.26 +$542.48
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $17.15 458 $7,852.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.00 458 $8,246.29 $8,263.14 +$393.88
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.99 459 $8,255.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.41 459 $7,988.90 $7,996.92 $-266.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $17.33 461 $7,991.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $16.75 461 $7,721.75 $7,727.24 $-269.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $17.83 433 $7,718.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $17.27 433 $7,477.91 $7,486.92 $-240.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:05am ET $18.43 406 $7,484.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $17.87 406 $7,255.22 $7,257.53 $-229.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $18.15 399 $7,239.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.30 399 $6,904.30 $6,921.97 $-335.56
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET $18.96 365 $6,920.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET $18.38 365 $6,708.74 $6,710.34 $-211.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $18.14 370 $6,709.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $17.59 370 $6,508.30 $6,508.69 $-201.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:50am ET $16.77 387 $6,491.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $16.19 387 $6,267.46 $6,284.23 $-224.46
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
58 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $15.08 416 $6,272.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:30am ET $15.84 416 $6,587.36 $6,599.52 +$315.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:55am ET $17.67 373 $6,592.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $18.57 373 $6,927.32 $6,934.06 +$334.54
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET $17.88 387 $6,917.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $18.81 387 $7,279.51 $7,295.94 +$361.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $18.74 389 $7,287.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $18.17 389 $7,068.32 $7,076.35 $-219.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:00am ET $17.33 408 $7,068.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $18.59 408 $7,586.27 $7,594.02 +$517.67
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $18.02 421 $7,586.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $17.47 421 $7,354.87 $7,362.47 $-231.55
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $17.16 429 $7,361.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $16.64 429 $7,136.42 $7,137.25 $-225.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $17.15 416 $7,132.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $16.61 416 $6,911.84 $6,916.77 $-220.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,916.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,083.23
Total Return: -30.83%
Back to Danny Dip