Compendium › Danny Dip › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 26 trades in period

-19.38%
Last Year Return
$7,657.16
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$9,497.77
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,593
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
3 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,497.77
Current Value
$7,657.16
Period P&L
$-1,840.63
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
9 / 17
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$432,156.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,840.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,840.63
Gross Return
-19.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,497.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET $55.44 171 $9,480.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:50am ET $53.71 171 $9,184.14 $9,201.68 $-296.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:40pm ET $52.69 174 $9,168.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET $50.10 174 $8,717.40 $8,750.32 $-451.36
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $50.96 171 $8,714.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $53.56 171 $9,158.76 $9,194.99 +$444.67
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $54.28 169 $9,173.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $57.02 169 $9,636.38 $9,658.05 +$463.06
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $53.75 179 $9,621.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $52.10 179 $9,325.90 $9,362.70 $-295.35
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $51.79 180 $9,322.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $50.17 180 $9,030.60 $9,071.10 $-291.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $49.43 183 $9,045.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $47.95 183 $8,773.94 $8,799.35 $-271.76
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.51 177 $8,762.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.84 177 $8,467.68 $8,504.64 $-294.71
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $49.86 170 $8,476.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.25 170 $8,202.50 $8,230.92 $-273.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $51.21 160 $8,193.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $49.66 160 $7,945.62 $7,982.94 $-247.98
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.29 155 $7,949.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.94 155 $8,360.70 $8,393.69 +$410.75
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $53.36 157 $8,377.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 157 $8,857.94 $8,874.11 +$480.42
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 159 $8,832.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.36 159 $9,279.24 $9,320.90 +$446.79
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 155 $9,292.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.79 155 $8,957.45 $8,986.10 $-334.80
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $56.15 160 $8,984.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 160 $8,030.56 $8,032.50 $-953.60
(-10.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 169 $8,015.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $46.00 169 $7,774.00 $7,790.83 $-241.67
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.92 177 $7,773.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 177 $7,535.78 $7,552.77 $-238.06
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 188 $7,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $38.80 188 $7,294.40 $7,317.77 $-235.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $37.77 193 $7,289.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $39.76 193 $7,673.68 $7,701.84 +$384.07
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.60 194 $7,682.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $38.31 194 $7,432.14 $7,451.58 $-250.26
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $36.52 204 $7,450.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $38.39 204 $7,831.56 $7,833.06 +$381.48
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $38.18 205 $7,827.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.03 205 $7,591.15 $7,597.10 $-235.96
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $36.74 206 $7,568.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $37.47 206 $7,718.86 $7,747.52 +$150.42
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $38.78 199 $7,717.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.58 199 $7,478.42 $7,508.72 $-238.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $36.23 207 $7,499.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $35.10 207 $7,265.68 $7,274.79 $-233.93
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $34.86 208 $7,251.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $36.70 208 $7,633.60 $7,657.16 +$382.37
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,657.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,342.84
Total Return: -23.43%
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