Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 60%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.60 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (60%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
252 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,950.04
Current Value
$9,160.14
Period P&L
$210.10
Max Drawdown
-21.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.32%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,758.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$210.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$210.10
Gross Return
+2.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 252 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,950.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $566.54 15 $8,498.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET $566.39 15 $8,495.85 $8,947.76 $-2.28
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $575.87 15 $8,637.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $558.04 15 $8,370.60 $8,680.38 $-267.38
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $495.55 17 $8,424.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:50am ET $479.79 17 $8,156.43 $8,412.46 $-267.92
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $475.04 17 $8,075.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET $500.30 17 $8,505.18 $8,841.96 +$429.50
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 18 $8,471.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $456.04 18 $8,208.72 $8,578.71 $-263.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:00am ET $459.65 18 $8,273.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:50am ET $445.42 18 $8,017.56 $8,322.54 $-256.17
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $500.18 16 $8,002.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $525.30 16 $8,404.80 $8,724.46 +$401.92
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $559.28 15 $8,389.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET $588.33 15 $8,824.95 $9,160.14 +$435.68
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,160.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-839.86
Total Return: -8.40%
Back to Danny Dip