Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

27
+6.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.1 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,082
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,076.25
Current Value
$15,443.91
Period P&L
$4,367.63
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
26 / 32
Best Trade
+13.96%
Worst Trade
-8.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,629,037.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,367.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,367.63
Gross Return
+39.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,076.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET $49.07 225 $11,040.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET $51.53 225 $11,594.27 $11,629.78 +$553.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $52.53 221 $11,609.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $50.60 221 $11,181.50 $11,202.14 $-427.64
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $49.38 226 $11,159.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:50am ET $51.93 226 $11,735.80 $11,778.06 +$575.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $51.31 229 $11,748.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET $53.91 229 $12,345.39 $12,374.60 +$596.54
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET $52.21 237 $12,372.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $55.14 237 $13,068.18 $13,070.20 +$695.60
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $58.17 224 $13,030.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $56.23 224 $12,595.52 $12,635.08 $-435.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET $55.42 228 $12,634.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:55am ET $53.75 228 $12,253.86 $12,254.32 $-380.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET $50.70 241 $12,218.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $55.43 241 $13,358.63 $13,394.25 +$1,139.93
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $54.03 247 $13,346.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:15pm ET $52.41 247 $12,944.04 $12,992.26 $-401.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $51.49 252 $12,974.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $49.60 252 $12,497.94 $12,515.90 $-476.36
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET $49.78 251 $12,494.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $52.82 251 $13,257.79 $13,278.92 +$763.01
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET $46.46 285 $13,241.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:05pm ET $48.83 285 $13,916.55 $13,953.51 +$674.59
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $49.26 283 $13,940.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $51.78 283 $14,652.33 $14,665.68 +$712.17
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $55.18 265 $14,622.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $53.04 265 $14,054.28 $14,097.26 $-568.43
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $50.97 276 $14,066.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $49.39 276 $13,631.64 $13,662.56 $-434.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $52.93 258 $13,656.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $55.62 258 $14,348.82 $14,355.29 +$692.73
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $53.87 266 $14,328.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.05 266 $13,844.79 $13,871.33 $-483.96
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.14 271 $13,858.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.72 271 $14,556.77 $14,569.15 +$697.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $55.19 263 $14,514.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $53.50 263 $14,070.08 $14,124.26 $-444.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $53.58 263 $14,091.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $51.97 263 $13,668.11 $13,700.83 $-423.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $48.84 280 $13,675.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $47.14 280 $13,199.20 $13,224.83 $-476.00
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $47.72 277 $13,218.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:55am ET $50.14 277 $13,888.75 $13,895.14 +$670.31
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET $48.31 287 $13,864.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $50.99 287 $14,635.56 $14,665.73 +$770.59
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $49.74 294 $14,623.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.47 294 $13,956.47 $13,998.64 $-667.09
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $46.80 299 $13,993.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $49.16 299 $14,698.84 $14,704.28 +$705.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $48.56 302 $14,665.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.31 302 $13,985.62 $14,024.78 $-679.50
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET $47.94 292 $13,998.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $46.49 292 $13,575.08 $13,601.38 $-423.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 303 $13,559.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $43.22 303 $13,097.17 $13,139.30 $-462.08
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.85 299 $13,109.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $42.43 299 $12,686.33 $12,715.98 $-423.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 309 $12,675.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $43.15 309 $13,334.89 $13,375.69 +$659.71
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $42.78 312 $13,346.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 312 $15,210.00 $15,239.05 +$1,863.36
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $58.58 260 $15,232.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:55am ET $61.55 260 $16,003.29 $16,010.24 +$771.19
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $60.58 264 $15,993.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.63 264 $16,798.32 $16,815.44 +$805.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
34 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $74.49 225 $16,759.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $72.15 225 $16,234.87 $16,291.19 $-524.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
35 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $75.66 215 $16,266.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:30am ET $73.17 215 $15,731.55 $15,755.84 $-535.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $83.37 188 $15,673.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $80.67 188 $15,165.02 $15,247.30 $-508.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $76.60 199 $15,243.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $73.54 199 $14,634.46 $14,638.36 $-608.94
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $71.63 204 $14,612.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $69.21 204 $14,118.78 $14,144.62 $-493.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $75.89 186 $14,115.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 186 $15,415.68 $15,444.76 +$1,300.14
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $82.11 188 $15,436.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 188 $14,797.48 $14,805.56 $-639.20
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $81.95 180 $14,751.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.96 180 $13,492.80 $13,547.36 $-1,258.20
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $72.89 185 $13,484.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 185 $14,433.70 $14,496.50 +$949.14
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $72.00 201 $14,472.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $75.63 201 $15,200.63 $15,225.13 +$728.63
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $78.51 193 $15,153.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $75.99 193 $14,666.13 $14,737.86 $-487.27
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $73.53 200 $14,706.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET $71.24 200 $14,247.00 $14,278.86 $-459.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $69.71 204 $14,220.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $74.74 204 $15,246.96 $15,304.98 +$1,026.12
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $74.70 204 $15,238.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $72.32 204 $14,753.28 $14,819.46 $-485.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:40am ET $73.59 201 $14,791.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $71.15 201 $14,301.17 $14,329.04 $-490.42
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET $66.45 215 $14,286.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $70.13 215 $15,077.95 $15,120.24 +$791.20
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $67.06 225 $15,088.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $64.25 225 $14,456.27 $14,488.01 $-632.23
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $63.72 227 $14,465.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $61.27 227 $13,908.29 $13,930.73 $-557.28
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $60.12 231 $13,887.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.30 231 $13,467.28 $13,510.29 $-420.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $64.21 210 $13,484.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $67.56 210 $14,186.55 $14,212.74 +$702.45
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $71.07 199 $14,142.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $74.83 199 $14,891.19 $14,961.00 +$748.26
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $73.27 204 $14,947.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $70.90 204 $14,463.60 $14,477.52 $-483.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $69.11 209 $14,443.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET $72.57 209 $15,168.17 $15,201.72 +$724.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $71.76 211 $15,142.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $69.14 211 $14,588.54 $14,647.85 $-553.88
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $68.93 212 $14,613.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.68 212 $15,409.22 $15,443.91 +$796.06
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,443.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,443.91
Total Return: +54.44%
Back to Danny Dip