Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:56:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,956.07
Current Value
$6,688.84
Period P&L
$-1,267.25
Max Drawdown
-14.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,810.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,267.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,267.25
Gross Return
-15.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,956.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $126.97 62 $7,872.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET $123.03 62 $7,627.55 $7,711.19 $-244.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.40 57 $7,660.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 57 $8,081.46 $8,132.13 +$420.94
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $139.10 58 $8,067.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 58 $7,563.20 $7,627.82 $-504.31
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET $137.41 55 $7,557.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $132.17 55 $7,269.35 $7,339.62 $-288.20
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:20am ET $142.17 51 $7,250.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $136.16 51 $6,944.16 $7,033.11 $-306.51
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $164.98 42 $6,929.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $173.43 42 $7,283.85 $7,387.80 +$354.69
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET $179.10 41 $7,342.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $173.51 41 $7,113.71 $7,158.61 $-229.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:05am ET $182.11 39 $7,102.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $191.32 39 $7,461.67 $7,517.99 +$359.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $188.17 39 $7,338.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 39 $6,942.00 $7,121.36 $-396.63
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $189.76 37 $7,020.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $183.85 37 $6,802.45 $6,902.88 $-218.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET $186.38 37 $6,896.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $180.60 37 $6,682.20 $6,688.84 $-214.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,688.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,311.16
Total Return: -33.11%
Back to Danny Dip