Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

18
+4.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.7 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,356.82
Current Value
$4,170.25
Period P&L
$-3,186.60
Max Drawdown
-64.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
3 / 19
Best Trade
+7.38%
Worst Trade
-9.80%
Avg Trade Return
-2.62%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$224,159.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,186.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,186.60
Gross Return
-43.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-43.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,356.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET $373.22 20 $7,464.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $361.16 20 $7,223.16 $7,289.99 $-241.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET $348.95 20 $6,979.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $334.97 20 $6,699.40 $7,010.39 $-279.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET $323.96 21 $6,803.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $311.48 21 $6,541.10 $6,748.23 $-262.16
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $340.11 19 $6,462.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $329.52 19 $6,260.88 $6,546.92 $-201.31
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 21 $6,424.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $296.30 21 $6,222.30 $6,344.69 $-202.23
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $321.97 19 $6,117.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $301.93 19 $5,736.76 $5,964.02 $-380.67
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $282.95 21 $5,941.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $273.70 21 $5,747.70 $5,769.77 $-194.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:35am ET $257.24 22 $5,659.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $244.04 22 $5,368.87 $5,479.36 $-290.41
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $280.48 19 $5,329.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $271.72 19 $5,162.68 $5,312.92 $-166.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $255.57 20 $5,111.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $244.99 20 $4,899.90 $5,101.52 $-211.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $237.43 21 $4,985.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET $229.30 21 $4,815.30 $4,930.90 $-170.63
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:40am ET $242.00 20 $4,840.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET $234.71 20 $4,694.20 $4,785.10 $-145.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $246.90 19 $4,691.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $222.71 19 $4,231.41 $4,325.32 $-459.78
(-9.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:25am ET $272.16 15 $4,082.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:05am ET $288.97 15 $4,334.50 $4,577.42 +$252.10
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $279.50 16 $4,472.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $269.50 16 $4,312.00 $4,417.42 $-160.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $256.07 17 $4,353.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET $247.70 17 $4,210.90 $4,275.10 $-142.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:05am ET $246.70 17 $4,193.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $236.73 17 $4,024.44 $4,105.73 $-169.37
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET $257.52 15 $3,862.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $247.50 15 $3,712.50 $3,955.50 $-150.23
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 16 $3,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $252.35 16 $4,037.60 $4,233.10 +$277.60
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $263.67 16 $4,218.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $252.10 16 $4,033.60 $4,047.90 $-185.20
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 16 $3,878.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $258.01 16 $4,128.16 $4,297.98 +$250.08
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $317.65 13 $4,129.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $307.83 13 $4,001.79 $4,170.25 $-127.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,170.25
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,829.75
Total Return: -58.30%
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