Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.4/35
Total Return
18.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 52.1/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 50.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,527.15
Current Value
$24,436.18
Period P&L
$-90.96
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.79%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$390,975.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-90.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-90.96
Gross Return
-0.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $24,527.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $373.93 65 $24,305.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $361.26 65 $23,481.58 $23,703.27 $-823.87
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $364.37 65 $23,684.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $382.86 65 $24,885.90 $24,905.09 +$1,201.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET $388.00 64 $24,832.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $376.18 64 $24,075.60 $24,148.69 $-756.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $380.88 63 $23,995.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 63 $25,383.65 $25,536.90 +$1,388.21
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $408.23 62 $25,310.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:05am ET $395.32 62 $24,509.84 $24,736.48 $-800.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 64 $24,403.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $369.81 64 $23,667.84 $24,000.48 $-736.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $350.86 68 $23,858.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 68 $25,086.90 $25,228.90 +$1,228.42
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 72 $25,143.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $338.21 72 $24,351.12 $24,436.18 $-792.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,436.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,436.18
Total Return: +144.36%
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