Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 16.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,864.38
Current Value
$11,597.48
Period P&L
$733.06
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
9 / 12
Best Trade
+9.30%
Worst Trade
-4.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$483,213.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$733.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$733.06
Gross Return
+6.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,864.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $156.66 69 $10,809.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $151.34 69 $10,442.46 $10,460.08 $-367.22
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $139.18 75 $10,438.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET $146.81 75 $11,010.75 $11,032.33 +$572.25
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $145.61 75 $10,920.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $153.97 75 $11,547.75 $11,659.33 +$627.00
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:45am ET $167.08 69 $11,528.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 69 $11,128.32 $11,258.96 $-400.37
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $164.95 68 $11,216.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $159.23 68 $10,827.30 $10,869.66 $-389.30
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $160.54 67 $10,756.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $155.53 67 $10,420.51 $10,533.66 $-336.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $160.97 65 $10,463.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $153.41 65 $9,971.97 $10,042.58 $-491.08
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $159.11 63 $10,023.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 63 $10,955.70 $10,974.35 +$931.77
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:15am ET $170.99 64 $10,943.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $162.93 64 $10,427.52 $10,458.54 $-515.81
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $158.10 66 $10,434.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $166.67 66 $11,000.22 $11,024.16 +$565.62
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $161.04 68 $10,951.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $169.13 68 $11,500.84 $11,573.94 +$549.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $160.07 72 $11,525.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 72 $11,036.16 $11,084.70 $-489.24
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.02 76 $10,945.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $151.37 76 $11,504.12 $11,643.49 +$558.79
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $146.71 79 $11,589.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $154.19 79 $12,181.01 $12,234.81 +$591.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET $149.06 82 $12,222.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET $158.13 82 $12,967.07 $12,978.96 +$744.15
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.01 71 $12,922.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $191.20 71 $13,575.20 $13,631.45 +$652.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $185.01 73 $13,505.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $179.05 73 $13,070.65 $13,196.37 $-435.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.23 72 $13,048.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $175.40 72 $12,628.79 $12,776.60 $-419.77
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $184.35 69 $12,720.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $178.66 69 $12,327.54 $12,383.65 $-392.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $183.85 67 $12,317.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET $177.98 67 $11,924.77 $11,990.47 $-393.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET $168.12 71 $11,936.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $162.58 71 $11,543.18 $11,597.48 $-392.99
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,597.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,597.48
Total Return: +15.97%
Back to Danny Dip