Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

19
+8.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.3 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,302.66
Current Value
$10,235.57
Period P&L
$1,932.88
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+16.07%
Worst Trade
-4.80%
Avg Trade Return
+2.57%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$162,025.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,932.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,932.88
Gross Return
+23.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,302.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $165.88 50 $8,294.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.91 50 $7,895.50 $7,904.19 $-398.50
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.98 48 $7,775.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $170.36 48 $8,177.28 $8,306.43 +$402.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $167.14 49 $8,189.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $161.91 49 $7,933.83 $8,050.40 $-256.03
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $180.70 44 $7,950.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 44 $8,383.32 $8,482.92 +$432.52
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $183.87 46 $8,458.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $193.61 46 $8,906.06 $8,930.96 +$448.04
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET $190.55 46 $8,765.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $200.76 46 $9,234.96 $9,400.62 +$469.66
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.45 47 $9,374.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 47 $10,880.50 $10,906.97 +$1,506.35
(+16.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:25am ET $256.00 42 $10,752.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET $247.57 42 $10,397.94 $10,552.91 $-354.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $243.89 43 $10,487.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $236.51 43 $10,169.93 $10,235.57 $-317.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,235.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$235.57
Total Return: +2.36%
Back to Danny Dip