Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

3
+0.1%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 3.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,594.34
Current Value
$7,909.08
Period P&L
$-685.25
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+5.99%
Worst Trade
-4.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.47%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,128.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-685.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-685.25
Gross Return
-7.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,594.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $189.38 45 $8,522.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $199.41 45 $8,973.67 $9,045.81 +$451.48
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $193.75 46 $8,912.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET $187.88 46 $8,642.71 $8,776.02 $-269.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET $191.58 45 $8,621.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $182.63 45 $8,218.39 $8,373.31 $-402.71
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $209.22 40 $8,368.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $202.37 40 $8,094.60 $8,099.11 $-274.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $198.21 40 $7,928.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $191.81 40 $7,672.38 $7,843.29 $-255.82
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $182.08 43 $7,829.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $175.79 43 $7,558.76 $7,572.61 $-270.68
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $179.77 42 $7,550.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $189.72 42 $7,968.24 $7,990.30 +$417.69
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.00 39 $7,917.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $213.82 39 $8,339.17 $8,412.47 +$422.17
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:05am ET $219.61 38 $8,345.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:00am ET $212.47 38 $8,073.86 $8,141.15 $-271.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET $201.04 40 $8,041.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:00am ET $195.00 40 $7,800.00 $7,899.55 $-241.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $218.86 36 $7,879.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $210.85 36 $7,590.60 $7,611.05 $-288.50
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:35am ET $226.07 33 $7,460.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $219.02 33 $7,227.66 $7,378.40 $-232.65
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET $206.83 35 $7,239.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $217.41 35 $7,609.35 $7,748.70 +$370.30
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $206.63 37 $7,645.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 37 $8,103.37 $8,206.58 +$457.88
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $239.60 34 $8,146.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 34 $7,848.90 $7,909.08 $-297.50
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,909.08
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,090.92
Total Return: -20.91%
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