Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 22.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

7
+0.4%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.5 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,288.14
Current Value
$13,599.60
Period P&L
$311.45
Max Drawdown
-45.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+6.54%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$464,542.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$311.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$311.45
Gross Return
+2.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,288.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.55 525 $13,413.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.77 525 $13,004.25 $13,015.15 $-409.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET $25.02 520 $13,010.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:35am ET $26.33 520 $13,691.60 $13,696.35 +$681.20
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $25.31 541 $13,690.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $26.96 541 $14,585.36 $14,591.70 +$895.35
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:45am ET $26.33 554 $14,589.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:35am ET $25.49 554 $14,121.46 $14,123.57 $-468.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.20 583 $14,108.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $23.11 583 $13,473.13 $13,488.10 $-635.47
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $23.85 565 $13,475.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $23.13 565 $13,068.34 $13,081.19 $-406.91
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $22.72 575 $13,064.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.00 575 $12,650.00 $12,667.19 $-414.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $22.34 567 $12,666.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $23.48 567 $13,313.16 $13,313.57 +$646.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $24.30 547 $13,292.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET $25.55 547 $13,973.12 $13,994.59 +$681.02
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:50am ET $25.62 546 $13,989.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $24.81 546 $13,543.53 $13,548.94 $-445.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET $25.11 539 $13,534.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET $26.41 539 $14,232.30 $14,246.95 +$698.01
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $25.04 568 $14,222.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $24.26 568 $13,779.68 $13,803.91 $-443.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.65 538 $13,799.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 538 $13,051.88 $13,056.09 $-747.82
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET $23.59 553 $13,045.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $24.83 553 $13,730.99 $13,741.81 +$685.72
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 579 $13,736.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $25.05 579 $14,502.79 $14,507.83 +$766.02
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $24.11 601 $14,490.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.39 601 $14,054.39 $14,072.10 $-435.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:45am ET $22.31 630 $14,055.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $21.56 630 $13,582.80 $13,599.60 $-472.50
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,599.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,599.60
Total Return: +36.00%
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