Compendium › Danny Dip › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 13 trades in period

+1.02%
Last 3 Months Return
$700.20
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$601.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 13:56:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-11.1%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,712
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$601.81
Current Value
$700.20
Period P&L
$6.11
Max Drawdown
-94.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
23.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$19,076.28
Estimated Fees
$47.69
Gross P&L
$6.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-41.58
Gross Return
+1.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.91%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $601.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.0905 7,143 $646.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $0.0954 7,143 $681.24 $681.23 +$31.49
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $0.0883 7,718 $681.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET $0.0928 7,718 $715.98 $715.98 +$31.26
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $0.0946 7,570 $715.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.0994 7,570 $752.35 $752.35 +$32.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET $0.1065 7,063 $752.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.1033 7,063 $729.50 $729.50 $-26.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.1021 7,146 $729.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:55pm ET $0.1083 7,146 $773.63 $773.63 +$40.37
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $0.1128 6,861 $773.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:05am ET $0.1093 6,861 $749.86 $749.86 $-27.58
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.1066 7,035 $749.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.1120 7,035 $787.94 $787.94 +$34.24
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $0.0956 8,245 $787.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET $0.0922 8,245 $759.79 $759.79 $-32.02
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.0882 8,613 $759.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:45am ET $0.0852 8,613 $734.25 $734.25 $-29.27
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $0.0837 8,769 $734.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $0.0810 8,769 $710.59 $710.59 $-27.27
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.0800 8,880 $710.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 1:20am ET $0.0840 8,880 $746.34 $746.34 +$32.11
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0883 8,453 $746.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:20am ET $0.0856 8,453 $723.36 $723.36 $-26.65
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $0.0850 8,510 $723.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $0.0823 8,510 $700.20 $700.20 $-26.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $700.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,299.80
Total Return: -93.00%
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