ETHUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-15 to present • 40 trades in period
-41.81%
Last 3 Months Return
$2,698.48
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$4,614.03
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,586
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-15 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,614.03
Current Value
$2,698.48
Period P&L
$-1,929.30
Max Drawdown
-77.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
12 /
28
Best Trade
+5.81%
Worst Trade
-3.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
17h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$289,212.87
Estimated Fees
$723.03
Gross P&L
$-1,929.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,652.33
Gross Return
-41.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-57.48%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,614.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 11:20am ET | $3,075.75 | 2 | $4,614.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:05pm ET | $2,972.00 | 2 | $4,458.45 | $4,435.77 |
$-178.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:00pm ET | $2,955.46 | 2 | $4,435.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:20am ET | $3,104.99 | 2 | $4,660.19 | $4,637.45 |
+$201.69 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:30am ET | $3,007.35 | 2 | $4,637.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:15pm ET | $2,913.06 | 2 | $4,492.06 | $4,469.23 |
$-168.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $2,893.55 | 2 | $4,469.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET | $2,802.70 | 2 | $4,328.91 | $4,306.91 |
$-162.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:55pm ET | $2,792.40 | 2 | $4,306.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $2,683.00 | 2 | $4,138.18 | $4,117.07 |
$-189.85 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:35am ET | $2,723.30 | 2 | $4,117.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 7:20am ET | $2,635.70 | 2 | $3,984.63 | $3,964.38 |
$-152.69 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 7:25am ET | $2,642.30 | 2 | $3,964.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $2,783.90 | 2 | $4,176.83 | $4,156.48 |
+$192.10 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $2,691.20 | 2 | $4,156.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2025 9:35pm ET | $2,826.71 | 2 | $4,365.77 | $4,344.46 |
+$187.99 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:05pm ET | $2,937.03 | 1 | $4,344.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 30, 2025 7:50pm ET | $2,839.40 | 1 | $4,200.05 | $4,178.68 |
$-165.78 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:55pm ET | $2,838.65 | 1 | $4,178.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $2,743.64 | 1 | $4,038.82 | $4,018.28 |
$-160.40 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:40am ET | $2,725.25 | 1 | $4,018.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:25am ET | $2,863.30 | 1 | $4,221.83 | $4,201.23 |
+$182.95 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $3,043.20 | 1 | $4,201.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 9:25am ET | $2,940.87 | 1 | $4,059.96 | $4,039.31 |
$-161.92 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $2,942.50 | 1 | $4,039.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $3,092.74 | 1 | $4,245.55 | $4,224.84 |
+$185.53 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 5:05pm ET | $3,040.81 | 1 | $4,224.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $3,217.40 | 1 | $4,470.19 | $4,448.45 |
+$223.61 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $3,134.14 | 1 | $4,448.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $3,018.82 | 1 | $4,284.77 | $4,262.94 |
$-185.51 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $3,046.51 | 1 | $4,262.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 12:35pm ET | $2,946.16 | 1 | $4,122.52 | $4,101.55 |
$-161.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $2,905.20 | 1 | $4,101.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:55pm ET | $2,812.69 | 1 | $3,970.95 | $3,950.77 |
$-150.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $2,865.58 | 1 | $3,950.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 21, 2025 4:50am ET | $3,009.73 | 1 | $4,149.51 | $4,129.26 |
+$178.49 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $3,247.90 | 1 | $4,129.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:15am ET | $3,135.90 | 1 | $3,986.86 | $3,966.57 |
$-162.68 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $2,925.26 | 1 | $3,966.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $2,836.90 | 1 | $3,846.76 | $3,827.23 |
$-139.35 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $2,847.20 | 1 | $3,827.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $2,757.89 | 1 | $3,707.17 | $3,688.34 |
$-138.89 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $2,725.30 | 1 | $3,688.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 3:35am ET | $2,635.60 | 1 | $3,566.94 | $3,548.80 |
$-139.54 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $2,530.51 | 1 | $3,548.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $2,451.69 | 1 | $3,438.27 | $3,420.80 |
$-128.01 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $2,405.67 | 1 | $3,420.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $2,331.62 | 1 | $3,315.50 | $3,298.66 |
$-122.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $2,321.22 | 1 | $3,298.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $2,237.56 | 1 | $3,179.77 | $3,163.58 |
$-135.08 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 6:15pm ET | $2,241.20 | 1 | $3,163.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET | $2,171.57 | 1 | $3,065.29 | $3,049.72 |
$-113.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:30pm ET | $2,174.82 | 1 | $3,049.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 4:35am ET | $2,286.91 | 1 | $3,206.90 | $3,191.26 |
+$141.54 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET | $2,224.61 | 1 | $3,191.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $2,139.99 | 1 | $3,069.87 | $3,054.22 |
$-137.04 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $2,134.86 | 1 | $3,054.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $2,245.78 | 1 | $3,212.90 | $3,197.23 |
+$143.02 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 5:10pm ET | $2,259.20 | 1 | $3,197.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:05am ET | $2,191.41 | 1 | $3,101.30 | $3,085.55 |
$-111.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $2,140.32 | 1 | $3,085.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $2,061.71 | 1 | $2,972.22 | $2,957.08 |
$-128.47 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:25am ET | $2,065.33 | 1 | $2,957.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,992.97 | 1 | $2,853.48 | $2,838.95 |
$-118.13 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,994.60 | 1 | $2,838.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,930.02 | 1 | $2,747.03 | $2,733.07 |
$-105.88 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,933.41 | 1 | $2,733.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,875.24 | 1 | $2,650.84 | $2,637.38 |
$-95.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1,870.71 | 1 | $2,637.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET | $1,810.06 | 1 | $2,551.87 | $2,538.90 |
$-98.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $1,817.70 | 1 | $2,538.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $1,748.40 | 1 | $2,442.10 | $2,429.65 |
$-109.25 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET | $1,775.22 | 1 | $2,429.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $1,864.94 | 1 | $2,552.45 | $2,539.99 |
+$110.34 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:55am ET | $1,906.30 | 1 | $2,539.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $2,005.08 | 1 | $2,671.61 | $2,658.58 |
+$118.59 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET | $2,013.26 | 1 | $2,658.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 3:30am ET | $2,117.73 | 1 | $2,796.53 | $2,782.89 |
+$124.31 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:50am ET | $1,998.40 | 1 | $2,782.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 5:05am ET | $1,937.78 | 1 | $2,698.48 | $2,698.48 |
$-98.11 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,698.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,301.52
Total Return:
-73.02%