Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,788.93
Current Value
$13,049.81
Period P&L
$-739.12
Max Drawdown
-18.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-4.89%
Avg Trade Return
-0.96%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$156,680.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-739.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-739.12
Gross Return
-5.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,788.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,031.87 13 $13,414.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $1,066.50 13 $13,864.50 $14,239.12 +$450.19
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $1,111.33 12 $13,335.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.94 12 $12,683.28 $13,586.44 $-652.68
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $1,051.23 12 $12,614.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $1,017.55 12 $12,210.66 $13,182.34 $-404.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $1,006.63 13 $13,086.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET $1,058.52 13 $13,760.70 $13,856.85 +$674.51
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $997.70 13 $12,970.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET $966.63 13 $12,566.13 $13,452.87 $-403.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $949.16 14 $13,288.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $920.37 14 $12,885.18 $13,049.81 $-403.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,049.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,049.81
Total Return: +30.50%
Back to Danny Dip