Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 31.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

7
+1.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.1 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,305.49
Current Value
$19,200.10
Period P&L
$894.53
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
8 / 11
Best Trade
+7.44%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$662,567.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$894.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$894.53
Gross Return
+4.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $18,305.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $98.64 185 $18,247.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $94.76 185 $17,530.60 $17,588.69 $-716.88
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $98.33 178 $17,503.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET $103.56 178 $18,433.68 $18,518.74 +$930.05
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $115.51 160 $18,481.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $111.69 160 $17,870.40 $17,907.54 $-611.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $114.86 155 $17,803.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.75 155 $17,166.56 $17,270.78 $-636.76
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $114.06 151 $17,222.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $110.47 151 $16,681.72 $16,730.20 $-540.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $112.49 148 $16,647.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $108.79 148 $16,100.92 $16,183.34 $-546.86
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $100.80 160 $16,128.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET $105.93 160 $16,948.00 $17,003.34 +$820.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $101.77 167 $16,995.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 167 $16,287.51 $16,295.26 $-708.08
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $95.72 170 $16,273.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $92.52 170 $15,728.40 $15,750.41 $-544.85
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:30am ET $89.93 175 $15,737.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $86.64 175 $15,162.87 $15,175.53 $-574.88
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $86.00 176 $15,136.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $90.32 176 $15,895.44 $15,934.53 +$759.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $90.84 175 $15,897.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:30am ET $95.46 175 $16,704.63 $16,742.16 +$807.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 180 $16,713.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $97.94 180 $17,629.20 $17,657.87 +$915.71
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET $94.13 187 $17,602.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $101.13 187 $18,911.31 $18,966.87 +$1,309.00
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $104.75 181 $18,959.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET $110.25 181 $19,955.25 $19,962.37 +$995.50
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $107.27 186 $19,952.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $103.28 186 $19,210.08 $19,220.25 $-742.12
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $119.99 160 $19,197.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $116.10 160 $18,576.00 $18,598.59 $-621.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.50 166 $18,509.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $107.32 166 $17,815.95 $17,905.54 $-693.05
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $102.46 174 $17,828.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $109.90 174 $19,122.60 $19,200.10 +$1,294.56
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,200.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,200.10
Total Return: +92.00%
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