Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:35:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.4/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 54.3/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 44.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,371.73
Current Value
$14,518.24
Period P&L
$-853.49
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.61%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,307.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-853.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-853.49
Gross Return
-5.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,371.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:00am ET $256.87 58 $14,898.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $271.28 58 $15,734.24 $15,906.49 +$835.78
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $298.16 53 $15,802.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $285.37 53 $15,124.48 $15,228.55 $-677.94
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $226.30 67 $15,162.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $218.27 67 $14,624.42 $14,690.87 $-537.68
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $215.98 68 $14,686.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $206.16 68 $14,019.21 $14,023.76 $-667.11
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $221.58 63 $13,959.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $232.71 63 $14,661.04 $14,725.26 +$701.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $230.79 63 $14,539.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $235.50 63 $14,836.50 $15,021.99 +$296.73
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $240.02 62 $14,881.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $231.90 62 $14,377.49 $14,518.24 $-503.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,518.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,518.24
Total Return: +45.18%
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