Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

29
+8.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.4 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,811
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$313.63
Current Value
$492.36
Period P&L
$95.08
Max Drawdown
-96.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-3.63%
Avg Trade Return
+2.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$12,282.91
Estimated Fees
$30.71
Gross P&L
$95.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$64.37
Gross Return
+30.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.53%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $313.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $7.15 51 $366.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:10am ET $7.50 51 $384.92 $384.92 +$16.51
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $7.17 54 $384.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:00am ET $7.53 54 $404.50 $404.50 +$17.61
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:25am ET $11.37 36 $404.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 5:20pm ET $11.94 36 $424.98 $424.98 +$18.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $12.02 35 $424.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 4:35am ET $11.59 35 $409.56 $409.56 $-17.51
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2026 2:00am ET $11.13 37 $409.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 5:30pm ET $11.70 37 $430.53 $430.53 +$18.86
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $11.45 38 $430.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:45pm ET $11.09 38 $416.97 $416.97 $-15.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:50pm ET $11.08 38 $416.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $11.72 38 $441.16 $441.16 +$22.04
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET $11.66 38 $441.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 9:35pm ET $12.27 38 $464.19 $464.19 +$20.76
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 6:00pm ET $12.90 36 $464.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 2:10am ET $13.60 36 $489.53 $489.53 +$22.95
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 3:40am ET $13.12 37 $489.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 6:20pm ET $12.71 37 $474.30 $474.30 $-17.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 6:20am ET $12.04 39 $474.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 6:10pm ET $11.67 39 $459.45 $459.45 $-17.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $11.14 41 $459.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:55pm ET $10.78 41 $444.61 $444.61 $-17.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 11:00pm ET $11.97 37 $444.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $12.58 37 $467.32 $467.32 +$20.43
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $12.26 38 $467.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $12.92 38 $492.36 $492.36 +$22.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $492.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,507.64
Total Return: -95.08%
Back to Danny Dip