Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:35:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.8/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 40.5/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 32.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,859.83
Current Value
$16,252.35
Period P&L
$392.53
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+6.88%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$152,520.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$392.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$392.53
Gross Return
+2.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,859.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $1,191.36 13 $15,487.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,149.93 13 $14,949.09 $15,321.23 $-538.59
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,180.99 12 $14,171.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,145.00 12 $13,740.00 $14,889.29 $-431.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $1,112.01 13 $14,456.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.99 13 $15,313.87 $15,747.09 +$857.80
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $1,174.62 13 $15,270.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $1,255.47 13 $16,321.11 $16,798.14 +$1,051.05
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $1,191.30 14 $16,678.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $1,152.31 14 $16,132.41 $16,252.35 $-545.79
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,252.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,252.35
Total Return: +62.52%
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