Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:43:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,808
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,138.73
Current Value
$3,371.31
Period P&L
$163.54
Max Drawdown
-84.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$58,699.86
Estimated Fees
$146.75
Gross P&L
$163.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$16.79
Gross Return
+5.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.54%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $3,138.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.04 62 $3,181.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 62 $2,933.70 $2,918.42 $-263.40
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $46.18 63 $2,918.42
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $48.66 63 $3,075.14 $3,060.16 +$141.74
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $49.65 62 $3,060.16
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 62 $3,232.12 $3,216.39 +$156.23
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $50.61 64 $3,216.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET $53.18 64 $3,379.72 $3,363.23 +$146.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $53.28 63 $3,363.23
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET $51.66 63 $3,261.21 $3,261.21 $-118.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $51.77 63 $3,261.21
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET $54.50 63 $3,433.18 $3,433.18 +$155.24
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:35pm ET $56.62 61 $3,433.18
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $54.62 61 $3,311.91 $3,311.91 $-138.13
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $52.96 63 $3,311.91
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:45am ET $55.61 63 $3,477.63 $3,477.63 +$148.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:35am ET $55.93 62 $3,477.63
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $54.22 62 $3,371.31 $3,371.31 $-123.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,371.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,628.69
Total Return: -66.29%
Back to Danny Dip