Compendium › Danny Dip › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 25 trades in period

+104.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,918.72
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$6,320.42
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

32
+9.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,320.42
Current Value
$12,918.72
Period P&L
$6,598.31
Max Drawdown
-66.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+86.85%
Worst Trade
-6.48%
Avg Trade Return
+3.95%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$437,014.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,598.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,598.31
Gross Return
+104.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+104.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,320.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $66.70 94 $6,269.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $70.04 94 $6,583.76 $6,634.37 +$313.96
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET $78.50 84 $6,594.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET $82.68 84 $6,945.12 $6,985.49 +$351.12
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $79.20 88 $6,969.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $75.84 88 $6,673.92 $6,689.81 $-295.68
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $73.45 91 $6,683.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $70.72 91 $6,435.97 $6,442.06 $-247.75
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $66.00 97 $6,402.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:10am ET $69.37 97 $6,728.90 $6,768.96 +$326.90
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $65.73 102 $6,704.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $63.60 102 $6,487.20 $6,551.70 $-217.26
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $59.34 110 $6,527.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $57.18 110 $6,289.80 $6,313.75 $-237.95
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:25am ET $55.12 114 $6,283.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET $53.43 114 $6,091.02 $6,121.10 $-192.65
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $56.58 108 $6,111.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $52.92 108 $5,715.36 $5,725.28 $-395.82
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:00am ET $56.27 101 $5,683.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:55am ET $59.15 101 $5,974.15 $6,016.16 +$290.88
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $55.57 108 $6,001.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.75 108 $5,805.00 $5,819.60 $-196.56
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $59.26 98 $5,807.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET $62.33 98 $6,107.85 $6,119.98 +$300.38
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $61.71 99 $6,109.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:20am ET $64.87 99 $6,422.15 $6,432.84 +$312.86
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:20am ET $63.21 101 $6,383.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 101 $11,928.04 $11,977.17 +$5,544.33
(+86.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $152.60 78 $11,902.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $147.05 78 $11,469.78 $11,544.14 $-433.03
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET $152.41 75 $11,430.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:45am ET $147.77 75 $11,082.75 $11,196.23 $-347.91
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $137.64 81 $11,148.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $147.38 81 $11,937.77 $11,985.28 +$789.05
(+7.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.50 79 $11,889.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.83 79 $11,520.88 $11,616.66 $-368.62
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $139.39 83 $11,569.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET $134.80 83 $11,188.40 $11,236.01 $-380.65
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $139.17 80 $11,133.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:05am ET $146.20 80 $11,695.61 $11,798.02 +$562.01
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $148.01 79 $11,692.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.21 79 $11,313.98 $11,419.51 $-378.51
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $137.68 82 $11,290.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.29 82 $10,765.37 $10,894.86 $-524.65
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $142.88 76 $10,858.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $152.56 76 $11,594.56 $11,630.54 +$735.68
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.48 68 $11,524.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $179.15 68 $12,181.86 $12,287.76 +$657.22
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $185.40 66 $12,236.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.96 66 $12,867.36 $12,918.72 +$630.96
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,918.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,918.72
Total Return: +29.19%
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