Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:09:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.5/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 39.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,101.40
Current Value
$22,593.75
Period P&L
$3,492.37
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+23.71%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$902,764.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,492.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,492.37
Gross Return
+18.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $19,101.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $992.80 19 $18,863.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 19 $23,334.76 $23,572.94 +$4,471.56
(+23.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,138.53 20 $22,770.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $1,095.65 20 $21,913.00 $22,715.34 $-857.60
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 21 $22,548.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,039.58 21 $21,831.18 $21,998.19 $-717.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 23 $21,104.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 23 $23,285.43 $24,179.51 +$2,181.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 25 $24,044.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $929.94 25 $23,248.50 $23,383.51 $-796.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $952.45 24 $22,858.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $921.04 24 $22,104.96 $22,629.76 $-753.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET $866.00 26 $22,516.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $825.00 26 $21,450.00 $21,563.76 $-1,066.00
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $859.73 25 $21,493.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $923.13 25 $23,078.25 $23,148.76 +$1,585.00
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $940.77 24 $22,578.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $990.18 24 $23,764.22 $24,334.58 +$1,185.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $951.03 25 $23,775.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $922.26 25 $23,056.50 $23,615.33 $-719.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $844.54 27 $22,802.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $814.83 27 $22,000.28 $22,813.03 $-802.30
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $796.61 28 $22,305.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $771.09 28 $21,590.52 $22,098.33 $-714.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $888.91 24 $21,333.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $846.34 24 $20,312.16 $21,076.61 $-1,021.72
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET $787.11 26 $20,464.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET $826.55 26 $21,490.30 $22,102.05 +$1,025.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 26 $21,877.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET $887.65 26 $23,078.77 $23,303.64 +$1,201.59
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $855.30 27 $23,093.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 27 $24,753.33 $24,963.73 +$1,660.09
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 26 $24,888.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $922.00 26 $23,972.00 $24,046.97 $-916.76
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $935.35 25 $23,383.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $906.79 25 $22,669.87 $23,333.10 $-713.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET $920.64 25 $23,016.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $974.49 25 $24,362.25 $24,679.35 +$1,346.25
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $996.58 24 $23,917.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 24 $21,832.32 $22,593.75 $-2,085.60
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,593.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,593.75
Total Return: +125.94%
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