Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 27.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,931.27
Current Value
$15,438.91
Period P&L
$-492.42
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+7.56%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,583.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-492.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-492.42
Gross Return
-3.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,931.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.03 3,202 $16,106.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $4.84 3,202 $15,481.67 $15,483.05 $-624.39
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.82 3,208 $15,478.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $5.07 3,208 $16,264.56 $16,269.01 +$785.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $4.74 3,432 $16,265.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:00am ET $4.98 3,432 $17,087.58 $17,090.63 +$821.62
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $4.84 3,531 $17,090.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET $4.68 3,531 $16,542.73 $16,543.32 $-547.31
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $4.50 3,676 $16,542.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $4.84 3,676 $17,792.21 $17,793.53 +$1,250.21
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $4.68 3,797 $17,788.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $4.51 3,797 $17,143.45 $17,148.04 $-645.49
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $4.49 3,819 $17,147.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $4.36 3,819 $16,631.75 $16,632.48 $-515.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.05 4,106 $16,629.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $3.91 4,106 $16,074.99 $16,078.17 $-554.31
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $3.76 4,276 $16,077.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $3.61 4,276 $15,438.50 $15,438.91 $-639.26
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,438.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,438.91
Total Return: +54.39%
Back to Danny Dip