Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:56:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
3.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 8.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,157.80
Current Value
$10,177.79
Period P&L
$1,019.95
Max Drawdown
-47.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-3.79%
Avg Trade Return
+1.53%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$131,654.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,019.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,019.95
Gross Return
+11.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,157.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 45 $9,090.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.34 45 $8,745.08 $8,875.02 $-344.92
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $193.64 45 $8,713.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $203.32 45 $9,149.62 $9,310.84 +$435.82
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $199.43 46 $9,173.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $209.85 46 $9,653.33 $9,790.39 +$479.55
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $200.09 48 $9,604.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $194.01 48 $9,312.48 $9,498.55 $-291.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:15am ET $192.03 49 $9,409.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $201.85 49 $9,890.65 $9,979.73 +$481.18
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:15am ET $218.96 45 $9,853.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $212.22 45 $9,549.90 $9,676.49 $-303.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 45 $9,504.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.34 45 $10,005.30 $10,177.79 +$501.30
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,177.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$177.79
Total Return: +1.78%
Back to Danny Dip