Compendium › Danny Dip › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 17 trades in period

+22.44%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,090.94
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$7,424.58
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

32
+9.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.3 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,424.58
Current Value
$9,090.94
Period P&L
$1,666.35
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+6.29%
Worst Trade
-4.35%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$257,998.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,666.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,666.35
Gross Return
+22.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,424.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $151.82 48 $7,287.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $146.66 48 $7,039.68 $7,176.91 $-247.68
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:55am ET $141.96 50 $7,098.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:30am ET $137.65 50 $6,882.50 $6,961.41 $-215.50
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $140.40 49 $6,879.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:20am ET $135.90 49 $6,659.10 $6,740.91 $-220.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET $128.95 52 $6,705.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $124.75 52 $6,486.74 $6,522.51 $-218.40
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET $121.76 53 $6,453.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET $128.04 53 $6,786.38 $6,855.61 +$333.10
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $122.07 56 $6,835.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $116.76 56 $6,538.56 $6,558.25 $-297.36
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $115.71 56 $6,479.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $121.72 56 $6,816.32 $6,894.80 +$336.55
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.75 58 $6,829.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $124.98 58 $7,248.84 $7,313.85 +$419.05
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $127.49 57 $7,266.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $135.51 57 $7,724.01 $7,771.15 +$457.30
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $142.85 54 $7,714.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:50am ET $150.55 54 $8,129.70 $8,186.73 +$415.58
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET $146.38 55 $8,050.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $153.88 55 $8,463.40 $8,599.23 +$412.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET $146.04 58 $8,470.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $140.80 58 $8,166.40 $8,295.31 $-303.92
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $142.65 58 $8,273.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.95 58 $8,755.10 $8,776.71 +$481.40
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $146.02 60 $8,761.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $141.59 60 $8,495.40 $8,510.91 $-265.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $157.75 53 $8,360.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:25am ET $152.39 53 $8,076.67 $8,226.83 $-284.08
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET $142.76 57 $8,137.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $149.93 57 $8,546.29 $8,636.09 +$409.26
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $145.13 59 $8,562.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $152.83 59 $9,017.25 $9,090.94 +$454.85
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,090.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-909.06
Total Return: -9.09%
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