Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:39:14

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,789.14
Current Value
$8,201.87
Period P&L
$412.71
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.39%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,316.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$412.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$412.71
Gross Return
+5.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,789.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $165.31 47 $7,769.66
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $158.08 47 $7,429.76 $7,521.47 $-339.90
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.33 51 $7,513.83
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $155.27 51 $7,918.77 $7,926.41 +$404.94
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $168.37 47 $7,913.39
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $161.76 47 $7,602.49 $7,615.51 $-310.90
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 43 $7,470.39
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $182.50 43 $7,847.50 $7,992.62 +$377.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $175.20 45 $7,884.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $184.65 45 $8,309.25 $8,417.87 +$425.25
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $251.99 33 $8,315.67
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $265.49 33 $8,761.17 $8,863.37 +$445.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 30 $8,669.10
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 30 $8,370.30 $8,564.57 $-298.80
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $272.65 31 $8,452.15
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 31 $8,089.45 $8,201.87 $-362.70
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,201.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,798.13
Total Return: -17.98%
Back to Danny Dip