Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

4
+0.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.5 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,201.85
Current Value
$7,452.53
Period P&L
$-749.34
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$197,057.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-749.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-749.34
Gross Return
-9.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,201.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $337.99 24 $8,111.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $355.43 24 $8,530.32 $8,620.43 +$418.56
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $346.13 24 $8,307.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $333.89 24 $8,013.36 $8,326.67 $-293.76
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $328.33 25 $8,208.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $318.17 25 $7,954.13 $8,072.67 $-254.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $347.50 23 $7,992.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:20am ET $366.19 23 $8,422.37 $8,502.54 +$429.87
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.96 24 $8,375.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $337.91 24 $8,109.84 $8,237.34 $-265.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET $323.86 25 $8,096.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $310.71 25 $7,767.87 $7,908.72 $-328.62
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $364.34 21 $7,651.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $352.36 21 $7,399.56 $7,657.14 $-251.58
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $363.54 21 $7,634.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:20am ET $352.57 21 $7,403.97 $7,426.87 $-230.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:10am ET $349.24 21 $7,333.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $338.14 21 $7,100.94 $7,193.86 $-233.01
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $367.51 19 $6,982.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $356.37 19 $6,771.03 $6,982.20 $-211.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $370.74 18 $6,673.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $358.36 18 $6,450.48 $6,759.27 $-222.93
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:45am ET $330.00 20 $6,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $347.31 20 $6,946.13 $7,105.40 +$346.13
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $365.11 19 $6,937.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $383.39 19 $7,284.32 $7,452.53 +$347.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,452.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,547.47
Total Return: -25.47%
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