PEPEUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 32 trades in period
+4.74%
Last 3 Months Return
$747.48
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$536.58
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality
3.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.4
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,712
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$536.58
Current Value
$747.48
Period P&L
$25.42
Max Drawdown
-99.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
15 /
17
Best Trade
+7.23%
Worst Trade
-4.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$47,420.47
Estimated Fees
$118.55
Gross P&L
$25.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-93.13
Gross Return
+4.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.36%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $536.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 7:50pm ET | $0.00000332 | 181,792,971 | $603.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000356 | 181,792,971 | $647.18 | $647.18 |
+$40.50 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $0.00000345 | 187,588,406 | $647.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET | $0.00000330 | 187,588,406 | $619.04 | $619.04 |
$-31.30 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.00000318 | 194,666,667 | $619.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 8:20pm ET | $0.00000335 | 194,666,667 | $652.13 | $652.13 |
+$29.92 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000332 | 196,424,699 | $652.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2026 4:35am ET | $0.00000349 | 196,424,699 | $685.52 | $685.52 |
+$30.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.00000333 | 205,861,862 | $685.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 4:20pm ET | $0.00000350 | 205,861,862 | $720.52 | $720.52 |
+$31.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 8:45pm ET | $0.00000366 | 196,863,388 | $720.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $0.00000355 | 196,863,388 | $698.87 | $698.87 |
$-25.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.00000354 | 197,420,904 | $698.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000373 | 197,420,904 | $736.38 | $736.38 |
+$33.92 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2026 4:35pm ET | $0.00000371 | 198,485,175 | $736.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000355 | 198,485,175 | $704.62 | $704.62 |
$-35.36 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET | $0.00000351 | 200,746,439 | $704.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.00000370 | 200,746,439 | $742.76 | $742.76 |
+$34.52 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10am ET | $0.00000389 | 190,940,874 | $742.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 6:15am ET | $0.00000377 | 190,940,874 | $719.85 | $719.85 |
$-26.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $0.00000374 | 192,473,262 | $719.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $0.00000393 | 192,473,262 | $756.42 | $756.42 |
+$32.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:20am ET | $0.00000388 | 194,953,608 | $756.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 6:10am ET | $0.00000410 | 194,953,608 | $799.31 | $799.31 |
+$39.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.00000401 | 199,329,177 | $799.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $0.00000387 | 199,329,177 | $771.40 | $771.40 |
$-31.83 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $0.00000375 | 205,706,667 | $771.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 5:55am ET | $0.00000394 | 205,706,667 | $810.48 | $810.48 |
+$35.13 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 4:45pm ET | $0.00000437 | 185,464,531 | $810.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 5:00am ET | $0.00000423 | 185,464,531 | $784.51 | $784.51 |
$-29.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $0.00000388 | 202,193,299 | $784.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2026 3:15am ET | $0.00000376 | 202,193,299 | $760.25 | $760.25 |
$-28.13 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET | $0.00000361 | 210,595,568 | $760.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $0.00000380 | 210,595,568 | $800.26 | $800.26 |
+$36.11 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2026 3:55am ET | $0.00000348 | 229,959,770 | $800.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2026 4:40pm ET | $0.00000369 | 229,959,770 | $848.55 | $848.55 |
+$44.17 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.00000333 | 254,819,820 | $848.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.00000322 | 254,819,820 | $820.52 | $820.52 |
$-32.20 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.00000321 | 255,613,707 | $820.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.00000311 | 255,613,707 | $794.96 | $794.96 |
$-29.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $0.00000313 | 253,980,831 | $794.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET | $0.00000303 | 253,980,831 | $769.56 | $769.56 |
$-29.31 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET | $0.00000299 | 257,377,926 | $769.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET | $0.00000286 | 257,377,926 | $736.10 | $736.10 |
$-37.22 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET | $0.00000291 | 252,955,326 | $736.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:20pm ET | $0.00000307 | 252,955,326 | $776.57 | $776.57 |
+$36.69 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 4:15am ET | $0.00000297 | 261,471,380 | $776.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:45pm ET | $0.00000288 | 261,471,380 | $753.04 | $753.04 |
$-27.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET | $0.00000283 | 266,091,873 | $753.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET | $0.00000271 | 266,091,873 | $721.11 | $721.11 |
$-35.62 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET | $0.00000274 | 263,178,832 | $721.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $0.00000265 | 263,178,832 | $697.42 | $697.42 |
$-27.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $0.00000265 | 263,177,358 | $697.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET | $0.00000257 | 263,177,358 | $676.37 | $676.37 |
$-24.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.00000258 | 262,158,915 | $676.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 4:30am ET | $0.00000272 | 262,158,915 | $713.07 | $713.07 |
+$33.23 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.00000264 | 270,102,273 | $713.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 4:45am ET | $0.00000278 | 270,102,273 | $750.88 | $750.88 |
+$34.15 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 3:45pm ET | $0.00000269 | 279,137,546 | $750.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET | $0.00000285 | 279,137,546 | $795.54 | $795.54 |
+$40.80 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.00000298 | 266,959,732 | $795.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $0.00000289 | 266,959,732 | $771.51 | $771.51 |
$-27.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $0.00000289 | 266,958,478 | $771.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000280 | 266,958,478 | $747.48 | $747.48 |
$-27.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$747.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,252.52
Total Return:
-92.53%