Compendium › Danny Dip › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 13 trades in period

+30.25%
Last 3 Months Return
$51,718.87
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$39,707.60
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:14:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.8/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 69.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 69.4

30-Day Momentum

15
+3.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$39,707.60
Current Value
$51,718.87
Period P&L
$12,011.29
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+17.47%
Worst Trade
-4.35%
Avg Trade Return
+2.23%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,201,971.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,011.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,011.29
Gross Return
+30.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $39,707.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $109.46 362 $39,622.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $116.25 362 $42,082.50 $42,167.37 +$2,459.79
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $134.39 313 $42,064.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $130.23 313 $40,761.99 $40,865.29 $-1,302.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.50 320 $40,800.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:00am ET $133.96 320 $42,867.20 $42,932.49 +$2,067.20
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $129.51 331 $42,869.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $136.09 331 $45,044.14 $45,107.16 +$2,174.67
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $127.81 352 $44,989.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $123.61 352 $43,510.72 $43,628.76 $-1,478.40
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $126.17 345 $43,528.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $122.25 345 $42,177.60 $42,277.71 $-1,351.05
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $122.98 343 $42,182.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.46 343 $49,549.78 $49,645.32 +$7,367.61
(+17.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:20am ET $160.44 309 $49,575.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $153.46 309 $47,417.60 $47,486.95 $-2,158.37
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET $169.95 279 $47,416.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.55 279 $49,815.45 $49,886.35 +$2,399.40
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $171.93 290 $49,859.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $181.14 290 $52,530.60 $52,557.25 +$2,670.90
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $173.94 302 $52,529.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $167.77 302 $50,666.54 $50,693.91 $-1,863.34
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $177.93 284 $50,530.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $172.05 284 $48,863.62 $49,026.83 $-1,667.08
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $169.59 289 $49,011.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 289 $51,703.54 $51,718.87 +$2,692.04
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $51,718.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$41,718.87
Total Return: +417.19%
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